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How the public is betting Billy Quarantillo vs. Spike Carlyle

Billy Quarantillo and Spike Carlyle square off at UFC on ESPN 9 in Las Vegas on May 30th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Billy Quarantillo and Spike Carlyle face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on May 29, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

UPDATE 10:25 pm: Billy Quarantillo wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28). It was an action-packed fight, but Quarantillo survived an early bullrush by Carlyle, and wore him down with his ground game.

One of the fights on the UFC on ESPN 9 card tonight that has seen the most betting movement is between lightweight Billy Quarantillo and featherweight Spike Carlyle. Both fighters came in yesterday around 150 lbs. for the catchweight battle.

Carlyle is only in his second UFC fight, and has a 9-1 career record in MMA. What he’s done so far however has clearly impressed the bettors, as 85% of the cash that’s come in on the fight has backed him despite being an underdog. This has moved the line from +132 to +115 in his favor, but bookmakers do appear to anticipate some of the cash moving back to his opponent closer to the fight.

Quarantillo is 13-2 in his career, and has won six bouts in a row, including his UFC debut with a submission win over Jacob Kilburn at UFC on ESPN in December. The Tampa native has 10 stoppages across his 13 wins, but doesn’t seem to be getting the respect from the bettors for this battle yet.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Billy Quarantillo vs. Spike Carlyle at UFC on ESPN on May 30th:

Betting splits

Billy Quarantillo: Opened at -167, now at -141 — 15% handle, 51% bets
Spike Carlyle: Opened at +132, now at +115 — 85% handle, 49% bets

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