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Lineup advice for UFC on ESPN 9 DFS 600k Throwdown Special Contest on DraftKings

UFC 249 kicks off a 12-fight card starting at 6:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. We’ve got picks and lineup strategy to help you in the DraftKings 500k Throwdown Contest.

Alistair Overeem and Walt Harris pose for the media during the official UFC Fight Night weigh-in on May 15, 2020 in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Cooper Neill/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Tonight’s UFC on ESPN 9 card has plenty of ways to get down action, but if you can figure out who is going to win, and how, you can win in DraftKings MMA $600k Throwdown Special, which has a $600k guaranteed prize pool for just a $15 entry.

Each fighter has an assigned salary, and a roster will have six fighters and must not exceed the salary cap of $50,000. With a premium on knockouts and tap outs early, picking some strikers and submitters that can end things in one round or less would be a great way to advance to the top of the table.

Here’s how the scoring works, and notice how heavily it leans towards winning big and early:

Moves

Significant Strikes: +0.5 Pts
Advance: +3 Pts
Takedown: +5 Pts
Reversal/Sweep: +5 Pts
Knockdown: +10 Pts

Fight Conclusion Bonuses

1st Round Win: +90 Pts
2nd Round Win: +70 Pts
3rd Round Win: +45 Pts
4th Round Win: +40 Pts
5th Round Win: +40 Pts
Decision Win: +30 Pts

Here are our best bets for UFC on ESPN 9 tonight at DraftKings:

Daniel Rodriguez ($7,300)

Should be in every single lineup, because the price was set when Kevin Volland was the opponent. With Volland out and replaced by newcomer Gabriel Green, this could be a chance for an easy win. Rodriguez is the biggest male favorite on the card at -335, and has 10 stoppages in his 11 career wins against only one total loss. More value here than anywhere.

Spike Carlyle ($7,600)

He’s a slight underdog on the money line at +110, but if he can get the win the “Alpha Ginger” is likely to do it quickly. He’s 9-1 career, and eight of those wins are by stoppage. He hasn’t even seen the second round in his last three fights, and his only loss was a split decision in 2018. The bonus points on offer for a speedy victory make this one worth the risk.

Mackenzie Dern ($9,300)

She’s struggled with weight issues in the past, but had no problem on the scale yesterday. Dern has four submissions in her seven career wins, and is the biggest moneyline favorite available at -435. She’ll likely put her opponent Hannah Cifers on the mat as much as possible, and can hopefully score some before making her tap. When Dern is in shape she’s very dangerous, and coming off her only career loss to Amanda Ribas she should be focused here.

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