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The Korea Baseball Organization is into its first weekend of the 2020 season, and we’re coming to the back end of the pitching rotations. Scoring has increased as we’ve made our way through the rotations, and the degree of difficulty on run total bets is increasing.
The KBO is broadcasting bright and early, with one game on ESPN each day this first week. Moving forward, Tuesday through Friday games are at 5:30 a.m., Saturdays are at 4 a.m., and Sundays are at 1 a.m. All five games for Saturday are scheduled for 4 a.m. ET. ESPN will air the LG Twins vs. NC Dinos, with Jon Sciambi and Jessica Mendoza calling the game.
After mostly unders on run totals the first two days, the past two days have seen a significant increase in scoring. All five totals hit the over on Thursday, and three of five blew through the over on Friday. We’re seeing sportsbooks adjust to the scoring, with DraftKings Sportsbook in particular moving three run totals up to 10!
Friday offered the KBO’s first extra innings game and the wildest of the young season. The Lotte Giants beat the SK Wyverns 9-8 in ten innings, and they scored the winning run without recording a hit in the 10th. They managed a walk, a steal of second, an HBP, a sac fly, and a wild pitch to wrap things up.
The biggest swing in run totals today belongs to KIA vs. Samsung. The matchup run total was 8.5 on Friday, but in spite of a 5-0 Samsung win, it got bumped up to 10 for Saturday’s matchup.
Here are the odds, totals, and run lines for May 9, 2020 in the KBO, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Below that is a table filled with current records for each team’s performance on the money line, the run line, and for run totals. We also offer up the pythagorean theorem for each team’s runs scored vs. runs allowed to help us better understand each team’s performance.
LG Twins vs. NC Dinos
Run line: LG -1.5, +155; NC +1.5, -205
Total: 9.5; Over -114, Under -112
Money line: LG -104, NC -122
SK Wyverns vs. Lotte Giants
Run line: SK -1.5, +105; Lotte +1.5, -134
Total: 9.5; Over -115, Under -110
Money line: SK -159, Lotte +125
KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
Run line: KT +1.5 -141, Doosan -1.5, +112
Total: 10; Over -105, Under -122
Money line: KT +150, Doosan -195
Hanwah Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes
Run line: Hanwah +1.5, -152, Kiwoom -1.5 +120
Total: 10; Over -108, Under -118
Money line: Hanwah +138, Kiwoom -177
KIA Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
Run line: KIA -1.5 +155, Samsung +1.5 -200
Total: 10; Over -107, Under -120
Money line: KIA -104, Samsung +122
KBO gambling results
| Team | ML as fav | ML as dog | -1.5 RL fav | -1.5 RL dog | +1.5 RL fav | +1.5 RL dog | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | ML as fav | ML as dog | -1.5 RL fav | -1.5 RL dog | +1.5 RL fav | +1.5 RL dog | Totals |
| Lotte Giants | 4-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 6-1-1 |
| NC Dinos | 6-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-3 |
| Kiwoom Heroes | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 |
| LG Twins | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 |
| Doosan Bears | 5-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
| Hanwha Eagles | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 2-7 |
| SK Wyverns | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 |
| KIA Tigers | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 4-5 |
| Samsung Lions | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 |
| KT Wiz Suwon | 0-0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 6-1-1 |
KBO Record, Run Diff, Pythag
| Team | W | L | Win % | Pythag | RS | RA | Pythag W proj | Pythag L proj |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | W | L | Win % | Pythag | RS | RA | Pythag W proj | Pythag L proj |
| NC Dinos | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | .638 | 409 | 300 | 92 | 52 |
| Doosan Bears | 39 | 26 | 0.600 | .558 | 401 | 353 | 80 | 64 |
| Kiwoom Heroes | 38 | 29 | 0.567 | .537 | 371 | 342 | 77 | 67 |
| Kia Tigers | 35 | 29 | 0.547 | .544 | 323 | 293 | 78 | 66 |
| LG Twins | 34 | 30 | 0.531 | .525 | 357 | 338 | 76 | 68 |
| Samsung Lions | 34 | 32 | 0.515 | .541 | 351 | 321 | 78 | 66 |
| KT Wiz | 32 | 32 | 0.500 | .512 | 376 | 366 | 74 | 70 |
| Lotte Giants | 30 | 33 | 0.476 | .479 | 314 | 329 | 69 | 75 |
| SK Wyverns | 22 | 44 | 0.333 | .370 | 260 | 348 | 53 | 91 |
| Hanwha Eagles | 17 | 50 | 0.254 | .262 | 226 | 398 | 38 | 106 |
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