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The Korea Baseball Organization had its first postponed games of the season on Saturday, with bad weather forcing three games to end early. The two completed games saw Kiwoom defeat Hanwha 5-3 and Samsung defeat KIA 14-2.
The postponements are resulting in some shuffling of pitching rotations. If there had been no postponements, Sunday would have been the day the No. 1 starter returned to action for most teams. For the rainouts, we’re seeing a mix of decisions. For now it would appear the Lotte Giants are the only one of the six rained-out teams going back to the top with Dan Straily starting against the SK Wyverns.
As teams come back around to the top of their rotations, we’re seeing run total odds come back down at DraftKings Sportsbook. The teams that were not rained out on Saturday and sending out their No. 1 on Sunday are both at 8.5 for their run totals. The three games involving rained-out teams have quite the range of run totals. KT vs. Doosan is at 10, Lotte vs. SK is at 9.5, and LG vs. NC is at 9.
For the LG-NC game, it’s notable that Casey Kelly is listed as the starter for the time being. Before the rain-out, LG was rolling out Chan Gyu Lim, who does not have great numbers. Kelly, however, had a 2.55 ERA with 126 strikeouts in 29 starts last season. There’s some intriguing value there.
The KBO is broadcasting bright and early, with one game on ESPN each day this first week. Moving forward, Tuesday through Friday games are at 5:30 a.m., Saturdays are at 4 a.m., and Sundays are at 1 a.m. All five games for Saturday are scheduled for 1 a.m. ET. ESPN will air the LG Twins vs. NC Dinos, with Jon Sciambi and Jessica Mendoza calling the game.
Here are the odds, totals, and run lines for May 9, 2020 in the KBO, courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. Below that is a table filled with current records for each team’s performance on the money line, the run line, and for run totals. We also offer up the pythagorean theorem for each team’s runs scored vs. runs allowed to help us better understand each team’s performance.
LG Twins vs. NC Dinos
Run line: LG -1.5, +116; NC +1.5, -148
Total: 9; Over -125, Under -103
Money line: LG -143, NC +114
SK Wyverns vs. Lotte Giants
Run line: SK +1.5, -195; Lotte -1.5, +150
Total: 9.5; Over -103, Under -124
Money line: SK +100, Lotte -124
KT Wiz Suwon vs. Doosan Bears
Run line: KT +1.5 -127, Doosan -1.5, +100
Total: 10; Over -106, Under -120
Money line: KT +155, Doosan -200
Hanwah Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes
Run line: Hanwah +1.5, -155, Kiwoom -1.5 +120
Total: 8.5; Over -105, Under -121
Money line: Hanwah +145, Kiwoom -186
KIA Tigers vs. Samsung Lions
Run line: KIA -1.5 +105, Samsung +1.5 -134
Total: 8.5; Over -114, Under -112
Money line: KIA -157, Samsung +125
KBO gambling results
Team | ML as fav | ML as dog | -1.5 RL fav | -1.5 RL dog | +1.5 RL fav | +1.5 RL dog | Totals |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | ML as fav | ML as dog | -1.5 RL fav | -1.5 RL dog | +1.5 RL fav | +1.5 RL dog | Totals |
Lotte Giants | 4-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-0 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 6-1-1 |
NC Dinos | 6-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-3 |
Kiwoom Heroes | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-5 |
LG Twins | 2-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 6-2 |
Doosan Bears | 5-3 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7-1 |
Hanwha Eagles | 0-0 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 2-7 |
SK Wyverns | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 |
KIA Tigers | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 4-5 |
Samsung Lions | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 |
KT Wiz Suwon | 0-0 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 6-1-1 |
KBO Record, Run Diff, Pythag
Team | W | L | Win % | Pythag | RS | RA | Pythag W proj | Pythag L proj |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | W | L | Win % | Pythag | RS | RA | Pythag W proj | Pythag L proj |
NC Dinos | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | .638 | 409 | 300 | 92 | 52 |
Doosan Bears | 39 | 26 | 0.600 | .558 | 401 | 353 | 80 | 64 |
Kiwoom Heroes | 38 | 29 | 0.567 | .537 | 371 | 342 | 77 | 67 |
Kia Tigers | 35 | 29 | 0.547 | .544 | 323 | 293 | 78 | 66 |
LG Twins | 34 | 30 | 0.531 | .525 | 357 | 338 | 76 | 68 |
Samsung Lions | 34 | 32 | 0.515 | .541 | 351 | 321 | 78 | 66 |
KT Wiz | 32 | 32 | 0.500 | .512 | 376 | 366 | 74 | 70 |
Lotte Giants | 30 | 33 | 0.476 | .479 | 314 | 329 | 69 | 75 |
SK Wyverns | 22 | 44 | 0.333 | .370 | 260 | 348 | 53 | 91 |
Hanwha Eagles | 17 | 50 | 0.254 | .262 | 226 | 398 | 38 | 106 |
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