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Intermediate NFL DFS: Fantasy points per opportunity

We continue our breakdown of NFL DFS. In this section, we look at fantasy points per opportunity, with definitions and some basic strategy.

A.J. Brown #11 of the Tennessee Titans warms up before the game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on December 29, 2019 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Tim Warner/Getty Images

In daily fantasy football, like in most things, getting the fundamentals down is integral toward laying a foundation of knowledge to build from as you progress as a player. For DFS, that means understanding how position vs. defense stats plays into your DFS strategy.

Fantasy points per opportunity

Definition

Fantasy points per opportunity is self explanatory, but for our purposes, we’ll want to look at DraftKings points per opportunity. Opportunity can be defined in many ways though. Snaps, rushing attempts, targets, receptions, routes run, etc.

Strategy

As always, remember that sample size is important when analyzing all statistics, especially per opportunity numbers. The more opportunities, the more useful the statistic, but we can still learn something from smaller sample sizes.

When looking at points per opportunity, we’re often wanting to see how a player might do with more opportunities. If a starting player goes down with an injury, it is good to know how well his backup has played on a per opportunity basis. He might not have enough opportunities to give us rock solid stats, but positive per opportunity statistics can help us feel safer in rostering a lower priced backup when they get their chance.

These statistics can be found across the internet with a little digging. Pro Football Focus has some of the most detailed and useful per opportunity numbers, but it is a pay site. If you aren’t flush with extra cash, you can usually find some free options like Lineups.com or FantasyFootballers.org with a little digging.