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Predicting finishing order from foursomes at RBC Heritage

We break down the picks pool on DraftKings Sportsbook for this weekend’s RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links.

The PGA Tour stops at Harbour Town Golf Links this weekend for the RBC Heritage in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina. We got our first action in a while at Colonial for the Charles Schwab Challenge last week in Texas, where Daniel Berger beat out Collin Morikawa in a playoff to seal the win. Will we get some more drama this weekend? Let’s take a look at the picks pool on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Who will have better finishing position?

Group 1

  • Rory McIlroy
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Justin Thomas
  • 2 or more Tie

Believe it or not, there’s some value in going with Rory in this group. A lot of people are going to be on DeChambeau and JT coming off last week. Rory was fine, but not exactly himself. A bounce back is certainly in order and while this course is unfamiliar to McIlroy, it’s not the toughest to conquer. Thomas would be the safe pick, while DeChambeau is the YOLO option.

Group 2

  • Jon Rahm
  • Xander Schauffele
  • Collin Morikawa
  • 2 or more Tie

This is another spot where I think there’s value in Rahm. He missed the cut in Texas but wasn’t awful, just got some bad breaks. If Rahm made some putts, he would have been fine at Colonial. Schauffele and Morikawa will get the majority of the love after the CSC. Morikawa missed some big putts and I could see him sort of falling off due to the weather. Xander can win it all and is set up nicely for this tourney.

Group 3

  • Patrick Reed
  • Webb Simpson
  • Daniel Berger
  • 2 or more Tie

The safe pick here is Reed, though it’s also the one you may not want to make. Simpson I see as a bounce-back candidate for Harbour Town if he can get his putter going. Berger has the momentum of 1,000 suns after winning the CSC, his fourth straight top 10 finish in 2020. Reed and Simpson have slightly better odds to win at +3000. If you want to ride the hot streak and hedge off of DFS by going with Berger, go for it.

Group 4

  • Justin Rose
  • Jordan Spieth
  • Sung-jae Im
  • 2 or more Tie

Everyone is all over Sung-jae Im this weekend, so he would be the trendy pick in this category. Outside of Berger, Im is the hottest golfer on the planet right now with three straight top 10 finishes, including a win at Honda and a top 3 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. Don’t sleep on Rose, though. He showed up big time at Colonial and finished third with a 66 on Sunday. Rose is similar to Rory in that he hasn’t played Harbour Town but could easily dominate again this week.

Group 5

  • Matt Kuchar
  • Tyrell Hatton
  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • 2 or more Tie

Rarely does Kuchar not show up at Harbour Town. He’s among one of the most successful at the course on Tour and has a clear advantage over the field. Kuchar has placed inside the top 11 in four of the past five RBC Heritage. He’s placed top 20 in each of the three tournaments following a missed cut. Matsuyama hasn’t played well at Harbour Town in small sample and this is his first PGA Tour stop since March after sitting out last week. Rust could be a factor.

Group 6

  • Tony Finau
  • Dustin Johnson
  • Gary Woodland
  • 2 or more Tie

DJ is an interesting play/bet this weekend. In this picks pool, chances are he’ll get the most love in this group. Johnson was flat out bad at Colonial, which is concerning. Still, DJ was leading after three rounds at Harbour Town in 2019 before a miserable Sunday dropped him down to T28. Finau I don’t really want much part of, he’s way too erratic, so perhaps we go with Woodland by default?

Group 7

  • Matthew Fitzpatrick
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Bubba Watson
  • 2 or more Tie

It’s crazy when out of this group we’re pretty easily looking at Fitzpatrick and not the two former Major winners. Koepka looked off again at Colonial and had to make up a lot of ground putting. His approach is what concerns me the most going into Harbour Town, where weather will be a factor.

Group 8

  • Viktor Hovland
  • Jason Kokrak
  • Branden Grace
  • 2 or more Tie

Is this the group where we go with the tie? It may be, though all three of these golfers are more than capable of winning this tournament. Hovland and Grace are going to be trendy value bets and Kokrak was really strong at Colonial on the greens. Grace has the history at Hilton Head on his side. He won this tournament back in 2016. That was between two top 11 finishes, so it wasn’t just a 1-and-done. Hovland has youth on his side and was good outside of putting last weekend in Texas.

Group 9

  • Ian Poulter
  • Rickie Fowler
  • Billy Horschel
  • 2 or more Tie

I really like Fowler this weekend. He normally bounces back after being cut in the previous tournament. His odds and price on DK are really low, which usually means something is up. So he’s a bit risky but is in a good spot at Hilton Head. Poulter is the safe pick here. He’s finished in the top 20 at Harbour Town in four of the past five tournaments. Poulter has also made the cut in eight straight PGA Tour stops in 2020.

Group 10

  • Abraham Ancer
  • Kevin Kisner
  • Scottie Scheffler
  • 2 or more Tie

Kisner, like Poulter, is another golfer with a really strong track record at RBC Heritage. He’s placed in the top 20 in three of the past five stops at Hilton Head. Kisner looked good at Colonial, finishing in the top 30 and shooting under a 70 each round. Ancer’s intermediate game was poor at Colonial, but he was another one who had a solid showing otherwise. Ancer has four top 20s in his past six tourneys, so he’s clearly the safe play here.

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