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How the public is betting the UFC on ESPN 11 main card midway through the week

UFC on ESPN 11 features a heavyweight contender bout headlining a 12-fight card. We break down betting splits on the five main card fights.

Lyman Good celebrates his TKO victory over Chance Rencountre in their welterweight bout during the UFC 244 event at Madison Square Garden on November 02, 2019 in New York City. Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC

UFC returns this Saturday for UFC on ESPN 11, and the betting public likes most of the favorites on the main card. DraftKings Sportsbook has updated odds and provided a look at betting splits on Wednesday morning. Most of the betting handle will likely come in later this week, but the early numbers give us an idea where the public is leaning. And if we see a dramatic shift on Friday or Saturday, this provides a useful benchmark.

The one underdog on the main card getting some love is Lyman Good. 58 percent of total bets are on the favored Belal Muhammed, but Good is getting an overwhelming 70 percent of the handle. This will be something to track as the week progresses, because for now this could suggest sharp bettors are leaning on Good, while the general public is going with the favorites.

Josh Emmett vs. Shane Burgos features the only other main card fight with a split between bets vs. handle. 51 percent of total bets are on the underdog, Emmett, while 68 percent of the total handle is on the favored Burgos. The betting has moved the line slightly, with Burgos moving from -137 to -143.

The biggest move thus far is in the main event. Curtis Blaydes opened at -295 while Volkov opened at +230. Blaydes is getting 86 percent of handle and 83 percent of total bets, and has shot to -400. Barring anything dramatic, he will be the biggest favorite by a longshot this Saturday.

UFC on ESPN 11 betting splits, Wednesday

Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Curtis Blaydes -400 86% 83%
Alexander Volkov +300 14% 17%
Josh Emmett +110 32% 51%
Shane Burgos -137 68% 49%
Marion Reneau +120 19% 24%
Raquel Pennington -152 81% 76%
Belal Muhammad -125 30% 58%
Lyman Good +100 70% 42%
Jim Miller +185 4% 18%
Roosevelt Roberts -240 96% 82%

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