Madden Stream: Jets at Patriots
LIVE at 10 p.m. ET
Game Style: Arcade
Event Type: Exhibition
Even Teams: Off
Quarter Length: 8 minutes
Accelerated Clock: On
Play Clock: 20 seconds
Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.
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Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices
Josh Allen ($10,800) has been consistent as a passer in recent sims, throwing for between 155 and 186 yards with one touchdown in each of his last four sims. What makes or breaks his value is his rushing ability. Allen rushed for at least 64 yards in three of those sims, scoring over 19 DKFP in each — he even had a game over 100 rushing yards with a touchdown. If you roster Allen here, his rushing stats are even more crucial than what he can do through the air.
John Brown ($9,400) just hasn’t shown what we need to see from a WR1 to justify paying for him, even if he’s on the cheaper side, comparably speaking. Yet to score 20 DKFP in a single sim, we can skip right over Brown and look for a cheaper pass-catcher capable of making some plays.
Cole Beasley ($7,400) is not that guy. He’s also pretty expensive on the WR2 scale, but hasn’t had any big sims to justify the price tag. He only has four sims in double figures, and also hasn’t reached 20 DKFP.
Allen’s rushing ability does mean you can play him on an island, but if I stack him with a WR, it’d be Robert Foster ($4,400). Foster is the fastest of the bunch, and that speed has helped him break free for six touchdowns in the sims. At his price, we can afford to miss and still build a successful lineup, but Foster essentially has the same upside as the rest of the Buffalo WR plays.
Tyler Kroft ($6,600) feels like the best play of all the pass-catchers on the Bills, though. He’s consistent, been hot lately (scoring at least 14 DKFP in three of his last four sims), and even shown a 25-DKFP ceiling. He checks all the boxes when you put him up against the WR plays.
Devin Singletary ($7,800) isn’t the worst play, but he just hasn’t shown the upside to justify paying up for him. On a classic slate, Singletary becomes more of a value play, but at this price, he’s safer to fade. The Colts are also solid upfront.
Jacoby Brissett ($10,600) showed us a high ceiling at one point, with four 30-DKFP sims between Weeks 5 and 12. He’s been pretty pedestrian since then, but Buffalo’s defense has been exposed for some big games by opposing QBs in the sims. Allen’s the safer play because of what he can do on the ground, but Brissett’s due for one of those ceiling games.
If you go the Brissett route, T.Y. Hilton ($10,400) is the perfect piece to pair him with. Those monster sims earlier in the season went hand-in-hand with big games from Hilton, who went for over 37 DKFP three times in that window. He’s the highest upside play on the slate.
Zach Pascal ($5,400) is cheap for a WR2, and while he’s a fine play, you need to ask yourself if you can get a better play for significantly cheaper. I’m certainly not talking about Devin Funchess ($5,000), who barely touches the ball as the WR3.
Chester Rogers ($2,200) has been a standout in the sims, averting 8.8 DKFP. He’s scored double-digit DKFP in three straight contests, and flashed 20-plus DKFP upside on multiple occasions.
Eric Ebron ($8,000) has been one of the more consistent plays on the Colts. I think he’s a little overpriced, but that doesn’t mean we need to pass him by. Values like Rogers, and the Indy backfield we’re about to get to, likely mean having some leftover salary to pay for a decent play like Ebron (assuming you’ve already rostered Hilton).
Marlon Mack ($8,600) has been a complete bust in the sims, hardly having a relevant contest. Nyheim Hines ($2,400) has been the value pivot, with his pass-catching role also leading to more carries. Hines is coming off a 20-DKFP sim in which he scored his eighth touchdown — twice as many as Mack.
Final Score: Bills 20, Colts 24
It’s obvious that we have the value to pay up at CPT, and I mentioned Hilton is the highest upside player on the slate. That’s what I want exposure to, even at $15,600. Given what we’ve seen in the past, 60 DKFP as the CPT is in reach.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.