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How the public is betting UFC on ESPN 11 heading into fight day

UFC on ESPN 11 features a heavyweight contender bout headlining a 12-fight card. We break down betting splits as of end of day Friday.

Opponents Belal Muhammad and Lyman Good face off during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on June 19, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

UFC is back in action on Saturday evening with UFC on ESPN 11 coming to us live at the organization’s Apex facility in Las Vegas. The 12-fight card is headlined by a heavyweight contenders bout between Curtis Blaydes and Alexander Volkov.

DraftKings Sportsbook has updated odds and provided a look at betting splits to close out the week heading into fight day. We saw betting splits for the main card on Wednesday, which gives us a benchmark for comparing how money is moving.

The splits are remaining fairly similar on the main card. The favorites are generally the most bet by a sizable margin, with the exception of Belal Muhammed vs. Lyman Good. The favored Muhammad has been getting more bets all week, but the underdog Good is getting more money. This has resulted in the odds moving closer.

Cortney Casey is the underdog getting the most action heading into Saturday. 61 percent of total bets and 59 percent of total handle are on her to upset Gillian Robertson in the fourth fight of the preliminary card.

We have two replacement fighters on this card. Frank Camacho was scheduled to face Matt Frevola, but one of Frevola’s cornermen tested positive for Covid-19. Justin Jaynes replaced Frevola, and is a huge underdog. Elsewhere, Austin Hubbard was scheduled to fight Joe Solecki, but the latter backed out at the beginning of the week. Max Rohskopf will replace him and make his UFC debut, but he is a sizable favorite and getting a good chunk of the action in their bout.

UFC on ESPN 11 Friday betting splits

Fight No. Fighter Opening odds 6/19 odds % Handle % Bets
Fight No. Fighter Opening odds 6/19 odds % Handle % Bets
1 Austin Hubbard +162 +162 13% 25%
1 Max Rohskopf -200 -200 87% 75%
2 Roxanne Modafferi -150 -124 54% 51%
2 Lauren Murphy +120 +100 46% 49%
3 Frank Camacho -360 -360 95% 91%
3 Justin Jaynes +260 +260 5% 9%
4 Cortney Casey +110 -106 59% 61%
4 Gillian Robertson -137 -118 41% 39%
5 Oskar Piechota -137 -112 22% 41%
5 Marc-Andre Barriault +110 -112 78% 59%
6 Brianna Van Buren -225 -230 76% 75%
6 Tecia Torres +175 +180 24% 25%
7 Bobby Green -250 -250 81% 82%
7 Clay Guida +195 +195 19% 18%
8 Jim Miller +185 +185 10% 14%
8 Roosevelt Roberts -240 -240 90% 86%
9 Belal Muhammad -155 -130 47% 62%
9 Lyman Good +125 +105 53% 38%
10 Marion Reneau +115 +140 6% 20%
10 Raquel Pennington -143 -180 94% 80%
11 Josh Emmett +115 +115 33% 40%
11 Shane Burgos -143 -143 67% 60%
12 Curtis Blaydes -295 -400 73% 81%
12 Alexander Volkov +230 +297 27% 19%

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