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DFS Lineup advice for UFC Fight Night and MMA $600k Throwdown Special tonight

UFC Fight Night has a 12-fight card starting at 5:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+ tonight. We’ve got picks and lineup strategy to help you in the $600k Throwdown Special

In this handout image provided by UFC, Curtis Blaydes poses on the scale during the UFC weigh-in at UFC APEX on June 19, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Tonight’s UFC card has plenty of ways to get down action, but if you can figure out who is going to win, and how, you’ll be a big winner in DraftKings MMA $600k Throwdown Special, where $150,000 is guaranteed for first place with just a $15 entry.

Each fighter has an assigned salary, and your roster will have six fighters can’t exceed the salary cap of $50,000. With a premium on stopping your opponent early, picking some strikers that can end things in one round or less is the goal to get to the top of the heap/

Here’s how the scoring works, and notice how heavily it leans towards winning big and early:

Moves

Significant Strikes: +0.5 Pts
Advance: +3 Pts
Takedown: +5 Pts
Reversal/Sweep: +5 Pts
Knockdown: +10 Pts

Fight Conclusion Bonuses

1st Round Win: +90 Pts
2nd Round Win: +70 Pts
3rd Round Win: +45 Pts
4th Round Win: +40 Pts
5th Round Win: +40 Pts
Decision Win: +30 Pts

So here are our best bets for UFC on ESPN 11’s MMA DFS tonight at DraftKings:

Frank Camacho ($8,000)

Yes, he missed weight by two pounds. But Camacho’s price was set when he was originally fighting Matt Frevola, not UFC newcomer Justin Jaymes. The overlay you’re getting with him competing against a last-minute replacement is just too great to leave off your roster, even if he’s not in tip-top condition. Despite losses in three of his last four and the weight miss, Camacho should be a winner here and provide plenty of value.

Gillian Robertson ($8,300)

Her opponent Cortney Casey thought she needed the “Hoop Of Shame” to completely disrobe before getting on the scales at the weigh-in... and then came in 2.5 pounds under the limit. It was bizarre and showed a possible lack of preparation, plus she also looked terrible from the cut and was shaking like a leaf while posing afterwards. Even before that, Robertson was the play here. She can get the fight on the mat early, and comes in at a good price that can still score you a first round stoppage.

Lyman Good ($7,300)

Sometimes you’ve got to pick an upset to keep your cap in line, and that’s what we’ll do here. Good is 21-5 in MMA, though 2-2 mark since a two-year suspension for doping. His 21 wins include 15 stoppages, and he’s very active on his feet throwing 5.32 strikes per minute while defending 75% of attempted takedowns. It’s enough to upset the rhythm of a fighter in Muhammad that wants to be plodding. Any win, even if not by stoppage, would provide value at this price.