With real basketball currently on hiatus, DraftKings is launching simulated basketball games! Take note of the rules since this contest doesn’t work like any other contest we have had before. Here, we will focus on Tuesday’s free simulated game between the Nets and Jazz, which locks at 3:00 p.m. ET.
Set your FREE to play lineups here: Simulated Basketball $2K FREE Contest (UTA vs BKN)
Note: All salaries will be Flex prices unless noted as Captain’s Pick prices.
Kyrie Irving ($16,800 CP/$11,200) is my top choice for the Captain’s spot. Even though the Jazz have a pair of All-Stars and Irving had a down season that ended early due to injuries, he’s still the top fantasy producer in this game by a decent margin. Kyrie averaged 47.61 DKFP per game prior to getting injured. Don’t forget, we don’t need to worry about the injury situation for a simulated game and Irving has only scored under 32 DKFP twice all season. Kyrie has played in 20 games this season, narrowly making the 15-game minimum needed to qualify for these sim contests.
Something we see pretty often in the Nets’ sim games is that Caris LeVert ($6,000) is priced a bit too cheaply. For his price, LeVert is one of the highest upside plays on the slate due to how well he’s played in the starting lineup since Irving got injured. While his upside is substantial, he does come with some risk. While LeVert is averaging 37.62 DKFP as a starter, he’s only averaging 20.16 DKFP when coming off the bench and he was a reserve player for all of January. We just have to hope we avoid drawing a game from that month.
One player we can look to avoid from the Nets is Spencer Dinwiddie ($8,800). He’s having a great season and played a major role for the Nets with Kyrie out, but the issue is where he’s priced. Dinwiddie is priced around Mitchell and Gobert, both of whom score way more DKFP on average. Dinwiddie is averaging 36.75 DKFP and all those other players are putting up over 40 DKFP per night.
For value, I think we can look to DeAndre Jordan ($4,200), who took over as the starting center after Kenny Atkinson got fired. In fact, Atkinson likely lost his job because he was starting Jarrett Allen ($5,800) ahead of Jordan, who is good friends with Irving and Kevin Durant. After playing some good games in his new role, Jordan is averaging 25.83 DKFP, making him a good value as one of the cheaper players in this contest.
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For some reason, Donovan Mitchell ($10,600) is always more expensive than Rudy Gobert ($9,800) in NBA sims. Since nothing matters other than past production this season, there isn’t much of a case to be made that Mitchell should be more expensive. He averages 38.38 DKFP while Gobert averages 40.06 DKFP per game. Gobert is the stronger play of the two Utah stars and Mitchell is a fade for me. Of the three All-Star level players in this game, Mitchell is the only one averaging under 40 DKFP, and he’s the second most expensive.
One other player from this side of the game that I think we can fade is Bojan Bogdanovic ($8,000). In a game with a couple decent high end plays, I am not looking to roster a guy who is overpriced with minimal upside for the season. Bogdanovic has been solid and averages 30.05 DKFP, but the problem is that rostering him likely comes at the opportunity cost of playing one of the All-Stars priced above him. While not quite as pricey, Jordan Clarkson ($7,200) is another player I am looking to avoid since his production has been up and down due to him playing a reserve role and limited minutes.
A risky play from the Jazz with upside is Mike Conley ($5,200). Due to leg injuries, he’s played limited minutes at times, although he’s been stellar during the time he’s been in the starting lineup. As the starting point guard for Utah, Conley is averaging 28.14 DKFP. As long as we get one of the games where he starts, he is almost certainly going to pay off his price tag. On the flip side, Conley is going to bust if we draw a game where he came off the bench and was restricted.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.