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How the public is betting winning methods for each fight at UFC 250

We’ve got a full breakdown of all the betting splits as to how the fights will finish at UFC 250 on Saturday in Las Vegas.

UFC 250 is one day away, with a main event featuring Amanda Nunes defending her featherweight title against Felicia Spencer. The 12-fight card gets underway just after 6 p.m. on ESPN, with the main card airing on ESPN+ as a PPV.

DraftKings Sportsbook has a full list of odds for the event, and on Friday, we got a look at how people are betting on the winning method for 11 of the 12 fights. Plenty of bettors will put money down on who will win each fight outright. It takes a little more panache to not only analyze who will win, but also how that person will secure victory. Some are a little more obvious than others, but fights can be unpredictable.

Below is a look at betting splits on each fight, and we wanted to highlight some of the more interesting numbers. We don’t have numbers for Ian Heinisch vs. Gerald Meerschaert because it was pulled from the sportsbook when it was uncertain if the fight would happen.

It looks like the sharp bettors are aware that if Spencer hits her Hail Mary and wins this fight, it won’t be from the judges. The Canadian “Fee-Nom” is getting 5% of handle and 6% of bets on a KO/TKO/DQ win at +1800, which seems the sharper bet than a +1200 win by decision.

Undefeated Sean O’Malley has an 11-0 record, and eight stoppages in his UFC career. It’s why he’s getting 75% of the bets and a whopping 91% of the handle at -118 to end Eddie Wineland early. But while the 35-year-old Wineland, with a 24-13-1 MMA record, is a significant underdog at +360, he might be able to survive the distance here: only seven of his 13 defeats were stoppages. There might be more value in O’Malley by decision at +225 instead, where just 5% of the handle is right now.

Alonzo Menifield By KO, TKO or DQ is both one of the sharpest and most popular bets on the board. It’s receiving 75% of the bets and an astonishing 86% of the handle at -143. And it could get worse before the bell: Menifield’s last four fights haven’t even made it to Round 2.

Jussier Formiga and Alex Perez are two veteran flyweights that fight in an experienced style. Neither have statistics that are particularly active, and they might be just settling in for a long 15 minutes of dancing and minimal contact. Both of them have more than half their wins go to the cards, and this one seems destined for a longer ring time. Grabbing both Perez at +175 to win by decision (receiving 32% of bets and 66% of action right now) as well as Formiga at +180 and hoping the finish the fight might have some value.

Cody Stamann is -139 to win via decision over Brian Kelleher, but that might be undervaluing his stopping power. He’s +650 to win by KO/TKO/DQ, and +1100 for a submission victory. Yes, his last four wins have come via the cards, but he’s shown an ability to win quickly in the past. A small flyer on each of the early stoppages might have some value in a fight he should win as a -275 favorite on the money line.

Amanda Nunes vs. Felicia Spencer

Nunes-Spencer betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Amanda Nunes ML -625 75% 81%
Felicia Spencer ML +450 25% 19%
Amanda Nunes By KO, TKO or DQ -182 59% 60%
Amanda Nunes By Decision +333 19% 11%
Felicia Spencer By KO, TKO or DQ +1800 5% 6%
Felicia Spencer By Submission +1100 5% 9%
Amanda Nunes By Submission +600 5% 6%
Felicia Spencer By Decision +1200 2% 3%
Tie +6600 1% 2%

Cody Garbrandt vs. Raphael Assuncao

Garbrandt-Assuncao betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Cody Garbrandt ML -148 59% 65%
Raphael Assuncao ML +120 41% 35%
Cody Garbrandt By KO, TKO or DQ +165 39% 39%
Cody Garbrandt By Decision +260 24% 36%
Raphael Assuncao By Decision +325 18% 9%
Raphael Assuncao By KO, TKO or DQ +400 15% 11%
Raphael Assuncao By Submission +1000 2% 3%
Cody Garbrandt By Submission +1800 2% 2%
Tie +5000 < 1 % < 1 %

Cory Sandhagen vs. Aljamain Sterling

Sandhagen-Sterling betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Cory Sandhagen ML -112 54% 54%
Aljamain Sterling ML -112 46% 46%
Aljamain Sterling By Decision +170 35% 37%
Cory Sandhagen By Decision +188 24% 25%
Cory Sandhagen By KO, TKO or DQ +500 22% 21%
Aljamain Sterling By KO, TKO or DQ +600 10% 10%
Tie +5000 5% 2%
Aljamain Sterling By Submission +600 4% 5%
Cory Sandhagen By Submission +1200 1% 1%

Neil Magny vs. Anthony Rocco Martin

Magny-Martin betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Anthony Rocco Martin ML +105 54% 36%
Neil Magny ML -130 46% 64%
Neil Magny By KO, TKO or DQ +900 55% 20%
Neil Magny By Decision +115 21% 43%
Anthony Rocco Martin By Decision +250 20% 19%
Anthony Rocco Martin By Submission +650 3% 6%
Neil Magny By Submission +750 1% 1%
Anthony Rocco Martin By KO, TKO or DQ +800 < 1% 10%
Tie +5000 0% 0%

Sean O’Malley vs. Eddie Wineland

O’Malley-Wineland betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Sean O'Malley ML -500 80% 83%
Eddie Wineland ML +360 20% 17%
Sean O'Malley By KO, TKO or DQ -118 91% 75%
Sean O'Malley By Decision +225 5% 13%
Sean O'Malley By Submission +650 3% 8%
Eddie Wineland By KO, TKO or DQ +750 1% 3%
Tie +6600 < 1 % < 1 %
Eddie Wineland By Decision +1000 < 1 % < 1 %
Eddie Wineland By Submission +1600 < 1 % < 1 %

Chase Hooper vs. Alex Caceres

Hooper-Caceres betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Chase Hooper ML -190 75% 81%
Alex Caceres ML +152 25% 19%
Chase Hooper By Submission +145 78% 76%
Chase Hooper By KO, TKO or DQ +550 9% 6%
Chase Hooper By Decision +350 5% 8%
Alex Caceres By KO, TKO or DQ +425 3% 3%
Alex Caceres By Decision +350 3% 3%
Alex Caceres By Submission +2000 1% 2%
Tie +6600 < 1% 1%

Cody Stamann vs. Brian Kelleher

Stamann-Kelleher betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Cody Stamann ML -275 70% 61%
Brian Kelleher ML +210 30% 39%
Cody Stamann By Decision -139 100% 100%
Brian Kelleher By Submission +500 0% 0%
Brian Kelleher By Decision +600 0% 0%
Cody Stamann By KO, TKO or DQ +650 0% 0%
Brian Kelleher By KO, TKO or DQ +700 0% 0%
Cody Stamann By Submission +1100 0% 0%
Tie +6600 0% 0%

Charles Byrd vs. Maki Pitolo

Byrd-Pitolo betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Charles Byrd ML -177 85% 67%
Maki Pitolo ML +140 15% 33%
Charles Byrd By Submission +300 44% 23%
Charles Byrd By KO, TKO or DQ +420 43% 49%
Maki Pitolo By KO, TKO or DQ +465 10% 19%
Charles Byrd By Decision +250 4% 9%
Maki Pitolo By Submission +1200 0% 0%
Maki Pitolo By Decision +465 0% 0%
Tie +6600 0% 0%

Jussier Formiga vs. Alex Perez

Perez-Formiga betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Alex Perez ML -137 61% 57%
Jussier Formiga ML +111 39% 43%
Alex Perez By Decision +175 66% 32%
Jussier Formiga By Submission +555 10% 33%
Jussier Formiga By KO, TKO or DQ +1400 8% 9%
Alex Perez By KO, TKO or DQ +340 7% 14%
Jussier Formiga By Decision +180 6% 8%
Alex Perez By Submission +1600 1% 3%
Tie +5000 1% 2%

Alonzo Menifield vs. Devin Clark

Menifield-Clark betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Alonzo Menifield ML -235 69% 76%
Devin Clark ML +183 31% 24%
Alonzo Menifield By KO, TKO or DQ -143 86% 75%
Devin Clark By Decision +350 6% 2%
Devin Clark By Submission +1700 5% 1%
Tie +8000 1% 1%
Alonzo Menifield By Decision +600 1% 1%
Devin Clark By KO, TKO or DQ +550 1% 19%

Evan Dunham vs. Herbert Burns

Dunham-Burns betting splits

Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Market Odds % Handle % Bets
Herbert Burns ML -230 77% 76%
Evan Dunham ML +180 23% 24%
Herbert Burns By Submission +215 89% 44%
Herbert Burns By KO, TKO or DQ +280 5% 42%
Evan Dunham By Decision +325 3% 4%
Herbert Burns By Decision +325 2% 7%
Evan Dunham By KO, TKO or DQ +280 0% 3%
Evan Dunham By Submission +1800 0% 0%
Tie +6600 0% 0%

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