UFC 250 is one day away, with a main event featuring Amanda Nunes defending her featherweight title against Felicia Spencer. The 12-fight card gets underway just after 6 p.m. on ESPN, with the main card airing on ESPN+ as a PPV.
DraftKings Sportsbook has a full list of odds for the event, and on Friday, we got a look at how people are betting on the winning method for 11 of the 12 fights. Plenty of bettors will put money down on who will win each fight outright. It takes a little more panache to not only analyze who will win, but also how that person will secure victory. Some are a little more obvious than others, but fights can be unpredictable.
Below is a look at betting splits on each fight, and we wanted to highlight some of the more interesting numbers. We don’t have numbers for Ian Heinisch vs. Gerald Meerschaert because it was pulled from the sportsbook when it was uncertain if the fight would happen.
It looks like the sharp bettors are aware that if Spencer hits her Hail Mary and wins this fight, it won’t be from the judges. The Canadian “Fee-Nom” is getting 5% of handle and 6% of bets on a KO/TKO/DQ win at +1800, which seems the sharper bet than a +1200 win by decision.
Undefeated Sean O’Malley has an 11-0 record, and eight stoppages in his UFC career. It’s why he’s getting 75% of the bets and a whopping 91% of the handle at -118 to end Eddie Wineland early. But while the 35-year-old Wineland, with a 24-13-1 MMA record, is a significant underdog at +360, he might be able to survive the distance here: only seven of his 13 defeats were stoppages. There might be more value in O’Malley by decision at +225 instead, where just 5% of the handle is right now.
Alonzo Menifield By KO, TKO or DQ is both one of the sharpest and most popular bets on the board. It’s receiving 75% of the bets and an astonishing 86% of the handle at -143. And it could get worse before the bell: Menifield’s last four fights haven’t even made it to Round 2.
Jussier Formiga and Alex Perez are two veteran flyweights that fight in an experienced style. Neither have statistics that are particularly active, and they might be just settling in for a long 15 minutes of dancing and minimal contact. Both of them have more than half their wins go to the cards, and this one seems destined for a longer ring time. Grabbing both Perez at +175 to win by decision (receiving 32% of bets and 66% of action right now) as well as Formiga at +180 and hoping the finish the fight might have some value.
Cody Stamann is -139 to win via decision over Brian Kelleher, but that might be undervaluing his stopping power. He’s +650 to win by KO/TKO/DQ, and +1100 for a submission victory. Yes, his last four wins have come via the cards, but he’s shown an ability to win quickly in the past. A small flyer on each of the early stoppages might have some value in a fight he should win as a -275 favorite on the money line.
Amanda Nunes vs. Felicia Spencer
Nunes-Spencer betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Amanda Nunes ML | -625 | 75% | 81% |
| Felicia Spencer ML | +450 | 25% | 19% |
| Amanda Nunes By KO, TKO or DQ | -182 | 59% | 60% |
| Amanda Nunes By Decision | +333 | 19% | 11% |
| Felicia Spencer By KO, TKO or DQ | +1800 | 5% | 6% |
| Felicia Spencer By Submission | +1100 | 5% | 9% |
| Amanda Nunes By Submission | +600 | 5% | 6% |
| Felicia Spencer By Decision | +1200 | 2% | 3% |
| Tie | +6600 | 1% | 2% |
Cody Garbrandt vs. Raphael Assuncao
Garbrandt-Assuncao betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Cody Garbrandt ML | -148 | 59% | 65% |
| Raphael Assuncao ML | +120 | 41% | 35% |
| Cody Garbrandt By KO, TKO or DQ | +165 | 39% | 39% |
| Cody Garbrandt By Decision | +260 | 24% | 36% |
| Raphael Assuncao By Decision | +325 | 18% | 9% |
| Raphael Assuncao By KO, TKO or DQ | +400 | 15% | 11% |
| Raphael Assuncao By Submission | +1000 | 2% | 3% |
| Cody Garbrandt By Submission | +1800 | 2% | 2% |
| Tie | +5000 | < 1 % | < 1 % |
Cory Sandhagen vs. Aljamain Sterling
Sandhagen-Sterling betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Cory Sandhagen ML | -112 | 54% | 54% |
| Aljamain Sterling ML | -112 | 46% | 46% |
| Aljamain Sterling By Decision | +170 | 35% | 37% |
| Cory Sandhagen By Decision | +188 | 24% | 25% |
| Cory Sandhagen By KO, TKO or DQ | +500 | 22% | 21% |
| Aljamain Sterling By KO, TKO or DQ | +600 | 10% | 10% |
| Tie | +5000 | 5% | 2% |
| Aljamain Sterling By Submission | +600 | 4% | 5% |
| Cory Sandhagen By Submission | +1200 | 1% | 1% |
Neil Magny vs. Anthony Rocco Martin
Magny-Martin betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Anthony Rocco Martin ML | +105 | 54% | 36% |
| Neil Magny ML | -130 | 46% | 64% |
| Neil Magny By KO, TKO or DQ | +900 | 55% | 20% |
| Neil Magny By Decision | +115 | 21% | 43% |
| Anthony Rocco Martin By Decision | +250 | 20% | 19% |
| Anthony Rocco Martin By Submission | +650 | 3% | 6% |
| Neil Magny By Submission | +750 | 1% | 1% |
| Anthony Rocco Martin By KO, TKO or DQ | +800 | < 1% | 10% |
| Tie | +5000 | 0% | 0% |
Sean O’Malley vs. Eddie Wineland
O’Malley-Wineland betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Sean O'Malley ML | -500 | 80% | 83% |
| Eddie Wineland ML | +360 | 20% | 17% |
| Sean O'Malley By KO, TKO or DQ | -118 | 91% | 75% |
| Sean O'Malley By Decision | +225 | 5% | 13% |
| Sean O'Malley By Submission | +650 | 3% | 8% |
| Eddie Wineland By KO, TKO or DQ | +750 | 1% | 3% |
| Tie | +6600 | < 1 % | < 1 % |
| Eddie Wineland By Decision | +1000 | < 1 % | < 1 % |
| Eddie Wineland By Submission | +1600 | < 1 % | < 1 % |
Chase Hooper vs. Alex Caceres
Hooper-Caceres betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Chase Hooper ML | -190 | 75% | 81% |
| Alex Caceres ML | +152 | 25% | 19% |
| Chase Hooper By Submission | +145 | 78% | 76% |
| Chase Hooper By KO, TKO or DQ | +550 | 9% | 6% |
| Chase Hooper By Decision | +350 | 5% | 8% |
| Alex Caceres By KO, TKO or DQ | +425 | 3% | 3% |
| Alex Caceres By Decision | +350 | 3% | 3% |
| Alex Caceres By Submission | +2000 | 1% | 2% |
| Tie | +6600 | < 1% | 1% |
Cody Stamann vs. Brian Kelleher
Stamann-Kelleher betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Cody Stamann ML | -275 | 70% | 61% |
| Brian Kelleher ML | +210 | 30% | 39% |
| Cody Stamann By Decision | -139 | 100% | 100% |
| Brian Kelleher By Submission | +500 | 0% | 0% |
| Brian Kelleher By Decision | +600 | 0% | 0% |
| Cody Stamann By KO, TKO or DQ | +650 | 0% | 0% |
| Brian Kelleher By KO, TKO or DQ | +700 | 0% | 0% |
| Cody Stamann By Submission | +1100 | 0% | 0% |
| Tie | +6600 | 0% | 0% |
Charles Byrd vs. Maki Pitolo
Byrd-Pitolo betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Charles Byrd ML | -177 | 85% | 67% |
| Maki Pitolo ML | +140 | 15% | 33% |
| Charles Byrd By Submission | +300 | 44% | 23% |
| Charles Byrd By KO, TKO or DQ | +420 | 43% | 49% |
| Maki Pitolo By KO, TKO or DQ | +465 | 10% | 19% |
| Charles Byrd By Decision | +250 | 4% | 9% |
| Maki Pitolo By Submission | +1200 | 0% | 0% |
| Maki Pitolo By Decision | +465 | 0% | 0% |
| Tie | +6600 | 0% | 0% |
Jussier Formiga vs. Alex Perez
Perez-Formiga betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Alex Perez ML | -137 | 61% | 57% |
| Jussier Formiga ML | +111 | 39% | 43% |
| Alex Perez By Decision | +175 | 66% | 32% |
| Jussier Formiga By Submission | +555 | 10% | 33% |
| Jussier Formiga By KO, TKO or DQ | +1400 | 8% | 9% |
| Alex Perez By KO, TKO or DQ | +340 | 7% | 14% |
| Jussier Formiga By Decision | +180 | 6% | 8% |
| Alex Perez By Submission | +1600 | 1% | 3% |
| Tie | +5000 | 1% | 2% |
Alonzo Menifield vs. Devin Clark
Menifield-Clark betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Alonzo Menifield ML | -235 | 69% | 76% |
| Devin Clark ML | +183 | 31% | 24% |
| Alonzo Menifield By KO, TKO or DQ | -143 | 86% | 75% |
| Devin Clark By Decision | +350 | 6% | 2% |
| Devin Clark By Submission | +1700 | 5% | 1% |
| Tie | +8000 | 1% | 1% |
| Alonzo Menifield By Decision | +600 | 1% | 1% |
| Devin Clark By KO, TKO or DQ | +550 | 1% | 19% |
Evan Dunham vs. Herbert Burns
Dunham-Burns betting splits
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|
| Market | Odds | % Handle | % Bets |
| Herbert Burns ML | -230 | 77% | 76% |
| Evan Dunham ML | +180 | 23% | 24% |
| Herbert Burns By Submission | +215 | 89% | 44% |
| Herbert Burns By KO, TKO or DQ | +280 | 5% | 42% |
| Evan Dunham By Decision | +325 | 3% | 4% |
| Herbert Burns By Decision | +325 | 2% | 7% |
| Evan Dunham By KO, TKO or DQ | +280 | 0% | 3% |
| Evan Dunham By Submission | +1800 | 0% | 0% |
| Tie | +6600 | 0% | 0% |
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