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Race order and betting split impact on QuikTrip 500 DFS strategy

NASCAR wraps up its Atlanta weekend on Sunday with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. We break down race order, odds, and betting split info to consider for picking drivers in DFS.

Kevin Harvick, driver of the #4 Hunt Brothers Pizza Ford, leads a pack of cars during the NASCAR Cup Series Food City presents the Supermarket Heroes 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on May 31, 2020 in Bristol, Tennessee. Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images

NASCAR wraps up its week at Atlanta Motor Speedway on Sunday afternoon evening with the Folds of Honor QuikTrip 500. The race is scheduled to run at 3 p.m. ET on FOX. Chase Elliott has the pole position, with Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Kyle Busch, and Clint Bowyer rounding out the top five in the starting order.

There is still time to get your daily fantasy racing lineups set, and we’ve got a host of information that could inform your DFS picks and lineup strategy. We’ve got race order, previous performance at Atlanta, and betting splits all providing input into drivers to consider on Sunday afternoon.

Race order and odds

Elliott ($9,900) has the pole, but is tied for second in odds with Kyle Busch ($11,200) at +600. Kevin Harvick ($11,700) is the favorite at +500. Elliott has been fairly all or nothing since NASCAR restarted last month. He finished fourth in the first race back, 38th three days later, then third, first, and 22nd. The past four years in Atlanta, he’s run 19th, 10th, 5th, and 8th. He’s had success there, and you’re bound to get some value from him potentially leading a decent number of laps out of the gate.

If you’re looking for some potential laps led value, Aric Almirola ($6,800) is starting second. If he can hop to the front at some point, there’s some laps led value to be had.

Betting splits

The most bet drivers include some favorites, but we get some modest sleeper value as well if you want to use that for picking your DFS lineup. Elliott leads the way with 15% of handle and 10% of bets, with Harvick right behind him at 13% and 9%. Jimmie Johnson (+1800, $10,200) follows with 13% and 8%, but at a price higher than Elliott, he’s not a great option for pricing.

On the other hand, Brad Keselowski (+800, $8,900) and Ryan Blaney (+1400, $8,500) offer a little bit of value if you prefer to pass on the five-figure prices. Neither is a big sleeper, but you can get some decent value if you pass on Harvick, Busch, or Hamlin.

But as always, Kevin Harvick remains a worthwhile consideration even as the most expensive driver on the card. His nine top ten finishes in 11 races is two more than the next best. Additionally, he’s run great in Atlanta, finishing 4th, 1st, 9th, 6th, and 2nd his past five races in the QuikTrip 500. There are no sure things in NASCAR, but he’s still valuable even at that price.

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