Breaking down 2020 AFC North win total betting splits

The NFL appears to be on track to play a full season in 2020, meaning there’s a good chance our season long bets will actually play out. DraftKings Sportsbook has released betting splits for team win totals which gives us a good look into how the public sees each team’s chances this season. Whether you’re inclined to back or fade the betting public, this information offers some helpful insight into where you might want to go with your picks.

Baltimore Ravens Win total: 11

Over (-110): 79% handle, 58% bets
Under (-110): 21% handle, 42% bets

Notable additions: DE Calais Campbell, DE Derek Wolfe, LB Patrick Queen*, RB J.K. Dobbins*, WR Devin Duvernay*
Notable departures: TE Hayden Hurst, OLB Patrick Onwuasor

The Ravens won 14 games last season on the way to the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The season before that they won 10 games in what was Lamar Jackson’s rookie season. The Steelers and Browns should both be better, making their two games against them tougher, but there’s no doubt a healthy Ravens team will be difficult to beat. The handle weighs heavily for the over and barring a Lamar Jackson injury, they are on track to repeat their strong 2019.

Pittsburgh Steelers, Win total: 9

Over (-106): 97% handle, 90% bets
Under (-115): 3% handle, 10% bets

Notable additions: TE Eric Ebron, OG Stefen Wisniewski, WR Chase Claypool*
Notable departures: DT Javon Hargrave

The Steelers will get Ben Roethlisberger back after going 8-8 last season and 9-7 the year before. They had double-digit wins in the four previous seasons and bettors are on board with them getting back to their average. After battling last season without Roethlisberger and somehow managing eight wins, I expect them to be on track this season to surpass their recent struggles.

Cleveland Browns Win total: 8.5

Over (+100): 99% handle, 68% bets
Under (-121): 1% handle, 32% bets

Notable additions: TE Austin Hooper, OT Jack Conklin, DT Andrew Billins, S Karl Joseph, OT Jedrick Wills, Jr.*, S Grant Delpit*
Notable departures: OLB Christian Kirksey, ILB Joe Schobert, S Damarious Randall, CB T.J. Carrie

The Browns upgraded their offensive line in a big way this offseason, which was one of their biggest problems last season. But, they are projected to win 2.5 more games after going 6-10 last season. That’s a pretty big jump, but bettors are on board with 99 percent of the handle going to the over. I believe the Browns are going to be better, but so will the Steelers and there’s a good chance they don’t upset the Ravens again this season. The Bengals could even give them a run in one of their games, so I’m not bullish on the over.

Cincinnati Bengals Win total: 5.5

Over (-115): 43% handle, 41% bets
Under (-106): 57% handle, 59% bets

Notable additions: QB Joe Burrow*, WR Tee Higgins* S Vonn Bell, CB Trae Waynes, DT D.J. Reader, CB Mackensie Alexander,
Notable departures: QB Andy Dalton, OLB Nick Vigil, OG John Miller, TE Tyler Eifert

The Bengals won just two games last season, resulting in them drafting Joe Burrow with the No. 1 overall pick this past April. Burrow’s presence has pushed the Bengals win total up by 3.5 wins. That’s a good chunk, especially in a tough division. Burrow is a wild card, especially in his rookie season. The handle and bets are fairly evenly split, which makes sense.

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