When looking at DraftKings player cards, be careful with what stats you use to attempt to predict player performance and build lineups. Here is a sample player card from the 2014 season that we will use for this lesson.
At A Glance
The first tab is the at a glance tab. It gives production for the most recent game, as well as home/road splits and season stats. Almost everything on this page is just noise (stats that aren’t predictive or are skewed due to small sample, injury, bad matchup, etc.) and should be taken with a grain of salt. College football does have a bit of a home field advantage element, but taking home/road splits in to account in a 12 game season is taking things a bit too far in most cases. However, there will be some guys who play better at home due to the surface (grass or turf) at his home stadium, but this is something you should look to dig deeper in to, not just take the home/road splits from this page. Generally speaking, the first page of the player cards isn’t very helpful when building lineups
This is the page where we can find actual important information for building lineups. Game logs are a great place to go to find recent production which can be helpful for a number of things. For running backs, we can see how much of their point totals are coming from touchdowns and if we can expect it to continue. We can see how many carries a back is getting and if it matches up with the rest of the season. We can tell if a running back catches passes out of the backfield on a consistent basis, which adds a nice floor and some upside to his potential. For wide receivers we can look at whether a guy is a possession receiver or a boom/bust guy who might catch two passes for 70 yards and a touchdown. We can find our gun-slinging quarterbacks as well. The game log page isn’t necessarily for predictive purposes, but more to look and see what type of player we are selecting and whether or not they are worth their price tag.
The game log page also lets us know what players have been playing well and what players have been struggling. This should give us a good idea for ownership percentages, as people tend to play guys who have been performing well. If a good running back hasn’t been scoring touchdowns over the last couple of weeks and his point totals have been down, it might be a good spot to get some exposure to him in tournaments as his ownership will could be quite a bit lower than normal. On the contrary, if we have a wide receiver who doesn’t normally catch touchdowns, but has caught a long bomb in three straight games and his point totals have been anomalous, it’s a good spot to fade said player as he should come back down and play at his normal level.
Overall, the DraftKings player cards are a good spot to find a few small pieces of information, but the bulk of your research should be done elsewhere.
Continue Reading CFB Training Camp
CFB Rookie – Lesson 01 – Welcome to Daily Fantasy College Football
CFB Rookie – Lesson 02 – Scoring Tips and Tricks
CFB Rookie – Lesson 03 – Using Player Cards to Build Lineups
NEXT LESSON – CFB Rookie – Lesson 04 – Drafting Lineups for Different Game Types