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Predicting finishing order from foursomes at 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic

We break down the picks pool on DraftKings Sportsbook for this weekend’s 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club.

Bryson DeChambeau plays his shot from the fifth tee during the final round of the Travelers Championship golf tournament at TPC River Highlands. Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

We get a break from loaded fields on the PGA Tour this weekend with the 2020 Rocket Mortgage Classic at Detroit Golf Club. This is the second year of this tournament, so we don’t have a big sample size for the field. This is Donald Ross designed course and we’re back to Bentgrass greens this week. This is another fairly easy course, so we could see more low scores. Let’s break down each of the groups and which golfer to fade in DraftKings Sportsbook picks pool.

Who will have better finishing position?

Group 1

  • Webb Simpson
  • Bryson DeChambeau
  • Tyrrell Hatton
  • 2 or more Tie

You’d have to be crazy to fade Buff Bryson at this point. He hasn’t finished outside the top 10 in six straight tournaments. He’s the betting favorite to win this week and all the stars are kind of aligned that way. Webb and Hatton didn’t golf at Travelers. I’d maybe be a bit concerned about Covid-19 for Simpson. Hatton is the easy fade, but he’s also the clear sleeper.

Group 2

  • Hideki Matsuyama
  • Patrick Reed
  • Tony Finau
  • 2 or more Tie

My fade here is Finau, though I never feel great about it. Finau can easily bomb it off the fairways and would just need to make putts to jump up the leaderboard. The issue is I just love Hideki and Reed too much. If Matsuyama can find his putter, he’ll be fine here. Reed is known to have one of the hottest putters in the world at times.

Group 3

  • Viktor Hovland
  • Sungjae Im
  • Rickie Fowler
  • 2 or more Tie

#FadeFowler? It’s a tough call because Rickie can easily win this tournament. It’s also his sponsor — Rocket Mortgage. Sungjae may be the fade with that in mind. He hasn’t looked good the past two weeks, though that can change quickly. Hovland is a trendy sleeper to win this event. He’ll be chalk but it’s tough to fade. Fowler is the safe fade here.

Group 4

  • Bubba Watson
  • Scottie Scheffler
  • Harris English
  • 2 or more Tie

For some reason, English is still in this picks pool despite testing positive for Covid-19 and withdrawing on Monday. So it’s between Scheff and Bubba. Watson missed the cut at Rocket Mortgage last year and has lost 4.0 strokes putting the past two tournaments. Everything else about his game is fine. Watson is the safe pick here.

Group 5

  • Kevin Na
  • J.T. Poston
  • Jason Day
  • 2 or more Tie

I’m all-in on Na this weekend and I like Day as a sleeper in DFS. So by natural process of elimination, that means Poston is the fade. The issue there is Poston has gained 9.7 strokes putting the past three tournaments. If he didn’t suck so much off the tee at Travelers, he probably makes the cut. Still, my feeling is Na runs away with this group anyway.

Group 6

  • Lucas Glover
  • Adam Hadwin
  • Doc Redman
  • 2 or more Tie

Glover and Doc are chalk this week, so again, natural fade is Hadwin in this group. Redman almost won at DGC last year at the Rocket Mortgage. He’s a bomber who got hot with his putter. Glover has three straight top 25 finishes since the Tour returned. His approach has been really solid and even his putter is getting there. Hadwin didn’t golf last week and hasn’t performed well on similar Donald Ross courses.

Group 7

  • Rory Sabbatini
  • Brandt Snedeker
  • Erik van Rooyen
  • 2 or more Tie

Sneds is one of the best putters on tour, so on a course where putting is key, can’t fade him. Sabbatini has finished 21st or better in back-to-back events since returning and has gained 8.1 strokes putting and 13.5 total strokes in that span. That leaves van Rooyen as the odd-man-out in this group.

Group 8

  • Brian Harman
  • Harold Varner III
  • Christiaan Bezuidenhout
  • 2 or more Tie

This is a tricky group because we have two chalky plays and then an unknown of sorts. The question here is: Can Harman bounce back after Travelers? Well, his putter was awful after being solid, so maybe it’s just a blip. Varner’s approach has been too strong and his T2G game should make up for the lack of putting. Bezuidenhout is more of a bermuda guy and would be risky here.

Group 9

  • Rafa Cabrera-Bello
  • Branden Grace
  • Kevin Kisner
  • 2 or more Tie

This seems like a great course for Rafa to get hot. Since the fairways are easy to hit, he doesn’t need to worry so much about driving the ball. He can play the middle game and just make easy putts all day. Grace doesn’t seem to be trending in the right direction and doesn’t do well on bent courses. Kisner has missed two straight cuts and has a lot of red flags.

Group 10

  • Alexander Noren
  • Maverick McNealy
  • Brendon Todd
  • 2 or more Tie

We finish out with another tough group. For some reason I like Noren because his putter can get hot. McNealy is also strong in the short game. Todd almost put together one of the best rounds of golf at Travelers before imploding on Sunday with a 75. Would it be crazy to fade Todd here? If we’re worried about him missing the cut, then no, not at all.

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