Two bantamweights looking to make their way in the UFC will lift the lid on the UFC 251 card when Martin Day takes on Davey Grant tonight. Who’s the better play for DFS purposes?
Martin Day: $8,50
Davey Grant: $7,700
Day is the favorite on the money line at -177, while Grant checks in at +141.
Day lost his only UFC fight so far to Pingyuan Liu in November of 2018 via controversial split decision, and has an 8-3 MMA record. After a series of injuries, he returns to the octagon as a favorite here. He has five career stoppages, and landed 5.60 strikes per minute in the loss to Liu. 65 DFS points in a loss is a strong number indicative of activity that scores.
Grant serves as gatekeeper here, with a 2-3 UFC record despite being 11-4 overall. He’s averaged just 42.0 DFS points per fight while in the promotion, and his only two career decision wins were both in the UFC as well.
Grant might be fighting for his UFC life here, and if you don’t think the 34-year-old has anything left in the tank he could be a fade. Day had shown promise previous to the 20-month layoff he’ll enter with tonight. This one is close, and there might be better value other places on the card for your roster, but we’d lean towards Day if forced to choose.