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How the public is betting Amanda Ribas vs Paige VanZant

Amanda Ribas faces off against Paige VanZant in a women’s flyweight bout at UFC 251 from Fight Island on July 11th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Opponents Amanda Ribas of Brazil and Paige VanZant face off during the UFC 251 official weigh-in inside Flash Forum at UFC Fight Island on July 10, 2020 on Yas Island Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

So far the betting public hasn’t necessarily agreed with the bookmakers between two flyweights in the women’s division fighting tonight at UFC 251 when Paige VanZant takes on Amanda Ribas.

Ribas is 9-1 in MMA with six stoppages, and 3-0 with a stoppage and two dominating decision wins since joining the UFC. Ranked #14 in the division, she averages 4.84 strikes per minute and 2.04 takedowns per 15 minutes. She might be the next great female Brazilian fighter in the mold of Amanda Nunes, but her massive favorite status hasn’t been backed up by the dollars yet.

VanZant is only 26-years-old, and might be leaving the UFC after this fight. “12 Gauge” is 8-4 career, but hasn’t fought since a win over Rachael Ostovich in January of 2019. Since then she’s finished second on Dancing With The Stars and spent more time outside of the octagon, and canceled two fights while recovering from a broken arm as well. She averages 3.40 strikes per minute and 1.31 takedowns per three rounds completed, but the bookmakers have her as the biggest underdog on Yas Island by a mile.

Betting splits

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Amanda Ribas vs. Paige VanZant at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Amanda Ribas: Opened -835, now -770 (64% of action, 45% of bets)
Paige VanZant: Opened +525, now +500 (36% of action, 55% of bets)

Winning method splits

Here are the splits for the method of victory at DraftKings Sportsbook for Amanda Ribas vs. Paige VanZant at UFC 251 on July 11th:

Miocic-Cormier Winning Method

Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Fights Odds % Handle % Bets
Daniel Cormier By Submission +1000 26% 18%
Daniel Cormier By Decision +350 23% 21%
Daniel Cormier By KO, TKO or DQ +195 8% 16%
Stipe Miocic By KO, TKO or DQ +185 18% 30%
Stipe Miocic By Decision +450 2% 8%
Tie +6600 19% 5%
Stipe Miocic By Submission +2000 10% 3%

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