It’s a flyweight battle between #12 Tim Elliott and Ryan Benoit in the flyweight division on Fight Island at UFC on ESPN 13 tonight. But is there any DFS value in this fight?
Tim Elliott: $8,500
Ryan Benoit: $7,700
Elliott is slight favorite at -125, with Benoit at +100 just behind him.
Normally we make a breakdown of each fighter here, and see where there might be an edge for either fighter to win. But in this match, here are some cold, hard numbers.
* Elliott is 2-5 in his UFC career, and averages 62.1 DFS points per fight.
* Benoit is 3-4, and averages 45.1 DFS per outing.
* Elliott lands only 3.41 strikes per minute. Benoit? 2.8.
* Elliott has a total of nine takedowns in his last five UFC fights. Benoit has one (1) takedown in his entire UFC career.
On a card with so many better fighters taking on last minute replacements offering better prices, this fight is just fantasy poison. Avoid at all costs.