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Wizards vs. Nuggets Simulated NBA Game: DraftKings DFS Showdown Strategy, Captain’s Picks

Greg Ehrenberg preps you for Saturday’s 3:00 p.m. ET simulated NBA game between the Wizards and Nuggets with game-script analysis and Captain’s Picks.

New York Knicks v Washington Wizards Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images

Since the NBA is currently on hiatus, DraftKings is running NBA simulations that give DFS basketball players a chance to keep their skills sharp and show off their knowledge. On Saturday, the Wizards take on the Nuggets and the action gets underway at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Set your free-to-play DraftKings lineups here: Simulated Basketball $2K FREE Contest (WAS vs DEN)


Curious about when major leagues and events will resume? Check out our DraftKings Sports Calendar for our latest updates.


SHOWDOWN STRATEGY

Washington Wizards

It should come as no surprise that Bradley Beal ($16,200 CP/$10,800) averages the most DKFP on the Wizards by a wide margin. In addition, he narrowly edges Nikola Jokic ($10,000) as the top overall fantasy producer in this game. Beal averages 48.33 DKFP per night and also has a really high floor. He’s my favorite choice for the Captain’s spot since he holds the DKFP average advantage over Jokic.

This is how we know the fantasy production from Washington has been ugly. The Wizards’ second-highest fantasy producer is Davis Bertans ($8,400), who averages 27.6 DKFP. For this price at this amount of production, I am comfortable fading Bertans. Per dollar, there are better plays on this slate.

The two point guards on the roster, Ish Smith ($6,800) and Shabazz Napier ($4,400), were splitting minutes the last time we saw Washington play. I find this pricing to be a bit weird. Despite being cheaper, Napier is actually the slightly better fantasy producer of the two. He averages 24.04 DKFP compared to an average of 23.84 DKFP for Smith. With a $2,400 gap in the prices, Napier is easily the stronger play of the two.

For value, Thomas Bryant ($3,800) is a player I am honing in on. His season has been set back by injuries but he was one of the Wizards’ best fantasy producers prior to getting hurt. Despite playing limited minutes after coming back from a stress fracture, Bryant is still the third-highest scoring fantasy player on the team, yet he has the sixth-most expensive salary. This is a clear sign that there is value to his price tag. Bryant is my favorite value play in this contest from either team.


Denver Nuggets

As the top fantasy scorer on the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic ($10,000) is a strong play. He averages 47.39 DKFP per game and only a few players average over 30 DKFP in this contest. Rostering the Nuggets’ star center also comes with a ton of upside since he’s scored as many as 82 DKFP this season and he has 11 games going over 60 DKFP. There isn’t anybody else on Denver who compares with Jokic’s ceiling.

In the mid-range, I don’t really like the price points on Jamal Murray ($9,200) or Will Barton ($8,800). They average 33.76 DKFP and 31.97 DKFP, respectively, so I prefer finding the space to pay up for Jokic and Beal. Since those two All-Stars are the top fantasy producers by such a wide margin, I think this is a good slate to go with a stars and scrubs build.

Typically a good cheap play in these contests, Jerami Grant ($7,800) is priced way up today. He averages 21.14 DKFP and has potential for upside if we draw one of his games as a starter. Grant has made 22 starts for the Nuggets this year due to injuries, averaging 27.53 DKFP in the role. The problem is that drawing any of his games off the bench is likely to end in a dud. When Grant was priced close to the minimum, he was a good play in this format. At his current salary, he’s a player I don’t have interest in.

Set your free-to-play DraftKings lineups here: Simulated Basketball $2K FREE Contest (WAS vs DEN)


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.