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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Pantoja vs. Askarov at UFC Fight Night

We break down the last minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Askar Askarov at UFC Fight Night.

Opponents Alexandre Pantoja of Brazil and Askar Askarov of Russia face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in inside Flash Forum on UFC Fight Island on July 17, 2020 in Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Update 3:05 p.m.: While Alexander Pantoja has taken on marginally more tickets, this fight has largely remained unchanged in how it’s being bet so far.

Updated betting splits

Alexandre Pantoja: -210 (64% of action, 68% of bets)
Askar Askarov: +165 (36% of action, 32% of bets)

While the main event of UFC Fight Night this evening is for the flyweight championship, two Top 10-ranked flyweights in the same division look to get in the mix for that belt as #4 Alexandre Pantoja duels with #7 Askar Askarov.

Pantoja is 22-4, 6-2 since joining the UFC in 2017. His last loss came to tonight’s main eventer Deiveson Figueiredo 51 weeks ago. His speed is one of his greatest strengths, landing 4.58 significant strikes per minute and 1.1 takedowns per three rounds while in a UFC octagon. He has 16 stoppages amongst his 22 wins.

Askarov is undefeated with an 11-0-1 record, his draw coming against Brandon Moreno two fights ago to open his UFC career. He followed that up with a win in January over fellow Fight Island resident Tim Elliott. Askarov excels as a grappler and seven of his 11 wins have been submissions, but he’s gone the distance in both of his UFC appearances so far.

Here are the betting odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Askar Askarov at UFC Fight Night from Fight Island on July 18th:

Betting splits

Alexandre Pantoja: -210 (64% of action, 63% of bets)
Askar Askarov: +165 (36% of action, 37% of bets)

Here are the DraftKings DFS salaries for Alexandre Pantoja vs. Askar Askarov tonight:

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Alexandre Pantoja: $8,800
Askar Askarov: $7,400

Pantoja (a.k.a. “The Cannibal) can score when he wins, with his last three victories earning an average of a shade over 112 points each. His 4.58 strikes per minute and 1.10 takedowns per 15 show enough activity in a fight where the betting lines favor him much more strongly than the DFS salary assignments do.

The Brazilian, with eight knockouts and eight submissions in his career, should for sure be on some rosters this evening.

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