Friday is shaping up to be a busy Friday in baseball, although we are still dealing with games being postponed because of COVID-19. Most recently, the matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers has been postponed. As the schedule currently stands, here are some wagers to consider that could prove to be profitable.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Yankees Over 5.5 Runs (-132)
The Yankees drubbed the Orioles during their two-game series at Camden Yards, scoring at least eight runs in both contests. That should come as little surprise given how bad the Orioles’ pitching staff is. As hard as this might be to believe, the Red Sox pitching staff is right up there with the Orioles in terms of futility. They will send Ryan Weber to the hill to start this series opener, who allowed six runs across 3 2/3 innings against the Orioles in his season debut. Add in the Yankees being within the friendly confines of Yankee Stadium and the over is extremely appealing.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
Padres Over 5.5 Runs (-108)
Welcome to the first game of the season at hitter-friendly Coors Field! On top of the Padres playing there, they will be facing the inconsistent Jon Gray. Gray has had difficulties keeping runners off base, posting a WHIP of 1.35 in both of the last two seasons. The Padres have already been excellent offensively out of the gate, scoring at least six runs in four of their seven contests. With Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado and Tommy Pham leading the way, look for them to score in bunches here, as well.
Xander Bogaerts Over 0.5 Hits (-240)
Bogaerts is off to a slow start, hitting 4-for-22 across his first seven games. On the bright side, he did register at least one hit in four of his six starts. Is a matchup against left-handed pitcher Jordan Montgomery what he needs to break out of his funk? Bogaerts has hit .302 against lefties for his career and Montgomery is making his first start since 2018 because of Tommy John surgery. These odds aren’t exactly great, but there could still be profits here with the over.
Aaron Judge to hit a Home Run (+290)
Alright, now we need a long shot at plus odds. Enter Judge, who is one of the best power hitters in all of baseball. He’s hot right now, hitting a home run in both of his last two games. He also loves hitting at home, posting a .332 ISO there for his career compared to a .240 ISO on the road. Homering in three straight games is no easy feat, but this matchup might be a recipe to do just that.
Cleveland Indians at Minnesota Twins
Under 9 Total Runs (-112)
Rolling with the under in any game that the Twins are a part of might seem risky. However, they were shut down by Shane Bieber and the Indians on Thursday in a 2-0 loss. That came on the heels of them only scoring three runs in their previous contest versus the Cardinals. In fact, none of their last three games have totaled more than nine combined runs. Facing Mike Clevinger might not help their cause for an offensive explosion, either.
Cleveland haven’t done much offensively despite starting out the season 5-2. They have scored five runs or fewer in all but one game and have only played in one game in which both teams combined to score more than eight total runs. The Twins will start Randy Dobnak in this matchup, who has recorded very good numbers in the minors and allowed only one run across four innings in his season debut against the White Sox. This game has the potential to be a low-scoring affair.
Yankees ML + Rays ML (+115)
This is pretty juicy at plus odds. The Yankees will face the Red Sox at home after winning both games of their two-game series against the Orioles. The Yankees are off to a 4-1 start while the Red Sox are just 3-4. As I discussed earlier with Weber starting, don’t be surprised if the Yankees explode offensively. They don’t exactly have an ace on the mound, either, in Montgomery, but they have a favorable opportunity to out slug the Red Sox, regardless.
The Orioles were expected to be one of the worst teams in baseball, so their 2-3 start is no surprise. They’ve allowed 36 runs through those five contests and should continue to have pitching issues throughout the season. Meanwhile, the Rays will have Blake Snell on the mound for this game, although he will be on a pitch count that is expected to limit him to three or four innings. Still, he has a talented bullpen behind him and a dangerous lineup to provide him with support, so look for the Rays to emerge with the win.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is mbarner51) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.