Liverpool will feel like it let itself down in its first game after being crowned champions of England on account of a 4-0 loss at Manchester City. Manager Jurgen Klopp’s anger was clear for all to see afterward and he will expect to see a positive response from his players at home against Aston Villa. Villa is winless in its past eight EPL games and that run should be extended at the home of the champions. Also on Sunday, Newcastle hosts West Ham while Manchester City travels to Southampton.
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In this article, I will highlight the players I think are worth rostering, as well as look at some of the bets offered on DraftKings Sportsbook. For the full list of available bets, download the DraftKings Sportsbook app or check out the DraftKings Sportsbook website.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Newcastle to continue revival by beating West Ham
Newcastle is seventh in the form table with three wins and two draws in the team’s past six EPL games and will be looking to extend its unbeaten run to six against a West Ham side still in danger of being relegated despite beating Chelsea, 3-2, on Wednesday. A win at St James’ Park will take West Ham another step closer to safety. Newcastle has not conceded the opening goal in its past five EPL games while West Ham has conceded the first goal in its past four. At St James’ Park, Newcastle has not given up the first goal in its past five and will want to get the first goal to settle any nerves. There is a good chance this game could be tied at halftime if recent matches are anything to go by. Newcastle has been level at the interval in its past five EPL home games while West Ham has been tied at halftime in five of its past six, including the past three on the road. Newcastle will fancy its chances of winning the second half as well. Of its past 22 league goals scored, 16 have come in the second half while 23 of the past 33 goals West Ham has conceded have been scored after halftime.
Newcastle striker Dwight Gayle ($5,700) comes into this match having scored in back-to-back games for the first time this season. Gayle missed the teams’ first meeting this season, which Newcastle won 3-2. With his confidence rising, you wouldn’t want to bet against Gayle, who has scored over 12 DKFP in each of his past two games, scoring again.
Allan Saint-Maximin ($7,200), meanwhile, is arguably Newcastle’s best player right now. With two goals in his past three EPL games, Saint-Maximin had a hat trick of assists in the 4-1 win at Bournemouth.
Michail Antonio ($6,300) was West Ham’s man of the match against Chelsea with a goal and an assist and he will be keen to continue that form. Averaging 19 DKFP in his past two games, Antonio is key to West Ham’s chances of winning this game. Andriy Yarmolenko ($5,200) wrapped up the scoring after coming off the bench and he will hope to start this game and end the season with a few more goals.
Prediction: Newcastle to win (+170)
Aston Villa could pay the price as Liverpool looks to put in championship display
You have to go back to September 2015 for the last time Liverpool lost back-to-back EPL games (at home to West Ham and away against Manchester United). Since then, it’s been 179 matches without losing successive league games. Liverpool is looking for a fifth successive win over Villa, which led the reverse fixture 1-0 with just three minutes to play before the Reds recovered to win 2-1. That is one of five league games this campaign in which Villa lost after scoring the first goal. Had Villa not squandered those 15 points from winning positions, it would be sitting safe as high as 12th in the standings with 42 points. The past five meetings between these two sides have seen over 2.5 total points scored. Liverpool’s past four EPL games at Anfield have also seen a minimum of three total goals scored and the champs will want to start quickly, get an early goal and record their 29th win of the campaign. Villa has failed to win any of its 14 games against sides ninth or higher and the team has taken just one point out of a possible 42. That poor run should continue at Anfield.
This could be a game for Liverpool defenders Andy Robertson ($5,300) and Trent Alexander-Arnold ($7,900) to impose themselves and get forward as much as they can. They are defenders, but I don’t think they will have too much defending to do against Villa. Between them, they have 20 assists this season with Alexander-Arnold (12) second only to Manchester City’s Kevin De Bruyne (20).
Midfielder Fabinho ($4,100) was one of Liverpool’s star performers in its 4-0 win against Crystal Palace in the team’s most recent home game. The Brazilian, who had 29.3 DKFP in that fixture, scored and had an assist for Mohamed Salah’s goal and he could be worth drafting.
Goalkeeper Alisson ($5,800) was beaten four times on Thursday, but he might have a quiet evening against the Villans who need a big game from Jack Grealish ($6,900). Grealish is the player who has been fouled most in this season’s competition. He has been stopped illegally over 130 times this campaign, which is a Premier League record and there are still six games remaining. Unfortunately, his frustration gets the better of him from time to time and he has been shown a yellow card eight times.
Prediction: Liverpool HT/FT double (-125)
Manchester City looks to keep building momentum by beating Southampton
Manchester City looked great in a 4-0 win over Liverpool on Thursday to stay the favorites to finish second and will be aiming for another three points when the team travels to Southampton. It’s been a disappointing EPL title defense for Pep Guardiola’s side, which is 14 points worse off at this stage of the season than at the same stage of the 2018-19 campaign.
Southampton has been a curious side lately. The team’s past two wins have come away from home while its last two encounters at St Mary’s have ended in defeats. City’s record on the south coast is good, having won its past three visits and its past seven meetings against the Saints. Southampton came within 20 minutes of beating City in the reverse fixture, but late goals from Sergio Aguero and Kyle Walker saved the home side at the Etihad at the start of November. City’s past four road games have seen over 2.5 total goals pay out which has also been the case in the past four meetings. If City finds its groove early, then this game could see a minimum of three total goals, which has landed in three of Southampton’s past five EPL matches.
City midfielder Phil Foden ($6,700) has a bright future ahead of him and with four goals in his past three games, he is seriously worth drafting. Few players average over 20 DKFP per game, but Foden is averaging 23.1 DKFP per game in his past three outings. Let’s also not forget Kevin De Bruyne ($10.300), who is also in a great form for City. De Bruyne, with three goals in his past four league games, has averaged just over 20 DKFP in that run of games.
For Southampton, Danny Ings ($6,800) has scored 18 goals this season and is a much cheaper option than Raheem Sterling ($8,600), who is five goals short of Ings’ contribution. Ings, who has averaged 21.2 DKFP in his past three matches, does not get the recognition he deserves, but a winning goal against City could change that.
Prediction: Over 2.5 total goals (-200)
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is CharliePMullan) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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