clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

How the public is betting UFC 251 including Holloway vs. Volkanovski, Yan vs. Aldo, more

Though the main event has changed, there’s still plenty of action on the rest of the biggest card of the year

Max Holloway kicks Alexander Volkanovski of Australia in their UFC featherweight championship bout during the UFC 245 event at T-Mobile Arena on December 14, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

Although the main event of UFC 251 has changed to Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal for the welterweight championship, bettors have had more than a week to get down action on the rest of the card.

And with so many other great fights happening, there’s been plenty of action early on what should be the MMA event of the year. We’ll take a look at some of the odds and bet splits for the earlier fights this Saturday.

The featherweight championship rematch between Alexander Volkanovski and Max Holloway is expected by the oddsmakers to be a repeat of December’s result, with “Alexander The Great” coming in at -200. But the bettors are warming to the Hawaiian Holloway, who is backed by more than half the cash and tickets in early trading. Will that trend continue with the +165 price laid, or will the cash come back in on the fighter that won via unanimous decision just seven months ago?

Jose Aldo is one of the most storied fighters in UFC history, but he’s a +185 underdog for the vacant bantamweight title against 14-1 Petr Yan. The Russian Yan is six years younger at 27, and is an undefeated 6-0 in the UFC after knocking out Uriah Faber with a head kick in his last bout. But the wagerers are on the Brazilian early, getting 26% of the tickets and 35% of the cash on his victory.

In one of two women’s fights on the main card, Jessica Andrade takes on Rose Namajunas at strawweight. Andrade beat Namajunas in May of last year via a second round KO slam to win the title, which she subsequently lost to Weili Zhang, but the oddsmakers don’t like her chances to repeat. She’s a decent-sized underdog at +162, but is getting 48% of the case despite only 28% of the bets, which might indicate sharper action on her winning again.

Paige VanZant is getting no respect from bookmakers, and yet the money is flying in on her. She’s the biggest underdog on Fight Island at +525, but somehow 79% of the action and 90% of the tickets are on the former Dancing With The Stars contestant. It seems likely her well-regarded opponent Amanda Ribas, who is 9-1 career and 3-0 in the UFC, will start taking on money eventually. VanZant has made it clear this might be her last fight in the octagon unless she starts getting paid more, but it’s the ticket writers that will be paying big if she pulls off the huge upset.

Here are the odds bet splits for UFC 251 as of July 6th.

July 6 Bet Splits: UFC 251

Fighter Odds % Handle % Bets
Fighter Odds % Handle % Bets
Max Holloway +165 51% 55%
Alex Volkanovski -200 49% 45%
Petr Yan -230 65% 74%
Jose Aldo +185 35% 26%
Rose Namajunas -200 52% 72%
Jessica Andrade +162 48% 28%
Paige VanZant +525 79% 90%
Amanda Ribas -835 21% 10%
Volkan Oezdemir -162 65% 74%
Jiri Prochazka +130 35% 26%
Leonardo Santos -182 51% 55%
Roman Bogatov +150 49% 45%
Karol Rosa -240 79% 90%
Vanessa Melo +185 21% 10%

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA) or 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN) or 1-800-522-4700(NH/CO). NH/NJ/WV/IN/PA/CO only. 21+ (18+ NH). Eligibility Restrictions Apply. See website for details.