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Where the juice lies on NBA restart win totals

We go over each team’s expected win totals and betting odds ahead of the NBA’s restart.

Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks handles the ball during the game against the Los Angeles Lakers on March 6, 2020 at STAPLES Center in Los Angeles, California.  Photo by Andrew D. Bernstein/NBAE via Getty Images

The NBA is set to resume the 2019-20 season on July 31 in Orlando, Florida after going on a four-month hiatus. Each of the 22 teams involved have eight regular season games remaining to shape the playoff picture. DraftKings Sportsbook has over/unders on total wins set for each team, and it’s worth noting which overs and unders are getting the most juice.

The Milwaukee Bucks have the best record in the NBA and have their over/under for total wins set at a league-high 6.5. The odds on them hitting the over are +165. Their toughest games will be against the Boston Celtics, Houston Rockets, and Toronto Raptors. They’ll play each team once and have essentially locked up the first seed. It’s hard to see them going all out to finish the regular season. Milwaukee hitting the under (-225) has a ton of juice, but that’s the most likely outcome.

The Los Angeles Lakers, Los Angeles Clippers, New Orleans Pelicans, Philadelphia 76ers, and Boston Celtics are all tied for second with over/unders for total wins set at 5.5. The Pelicans’ under has the most juice at -215 in this group, but it’s a pretty safe bet to make. They’ll start with games against the Utah Jazz and Clippers right off the bat. Both are top-notch defensive teams, and it’s unlikely like New Orleans will beat both. Even if the Pelicans split their first two games, the odds of them beating the Memphis Grizzlies, Orlando Magic, and sweeping a two-game series against the Sacramento Kings is slim.

The Raptors and Brooklyn Nets are both at -115 whether they hit their overs or fall short.. Toronto appears poised to return at full strength and has an over/under set at 4.5 wins the Nets have been ravaged by injuries and have their mark set at 2.5.

The odds of Kings’ hitting the over on 3.5 wins is at a league-high +175, but their under has the most juice of any team at -240. The Washington Wizards, who will be without Bradley Beal and Davis Bertans, have the lowest expected win total at 1.5. Washington’s odds to hit the over are at +125 while its odds of losing at least seven or more games are -167.

Here’s the breakdown for all the teams.

NBA restart win total over/unders

Team Over Under
Team Over Under
Brooklyn Nets Over 2.5 -115 Under 2.5 -115
Memphis Grizzlies Over 3.5 +110 Under 3.5 -143
New Orleans Pelicans Over 5.5 +160 Under 5.5 -215
Orlando Magic Over 3.5 +100 Under 3.5 -134
Phoenix Suns Over 2.5 +150 Under 2.5 -205
Portland Trail Blazers Over 3.5 +150 Under 3.5 -200
Sacramento Kings Over 3.5 +175 Under 3.5 -240
San Antonio Spurs Over 2.5 +100 Under 2.5 -134
Washington Wizards Over 1.5 +125 Under 1.5 -167
Boston Celtics Over 5.5 +140 Under 5.5 -190
Dallas Mavericks Over 4.5 +110 Under 4.5 -143
Denver Nuggets Over 3.5 -175 Under 3.5 +130
Houston Rockets Over 4.5 +105 Under 4.5 -137
Indiana Pacers Over 4.5 +150 Under 4.5 -200
Los Angeles Clippers Over 5.5 -143 Under 5.5 +110
Los Angeles Lakers Markets Over 5.5 +100 Under 5.5 -132
Miami Heat Over 4.5 +150 Under 4.5 -200
Milwaukee Bucks Over 6.5 +165 Under 6.5 -225
Oklahoma City Th Over 4.5 +160 Under 4.5 -215
Philadelphia 76ers Over 5.5 +130 Under 5.5 -177
Toronto Raptors Over 4.5 -115 Under 4.5 -115
Utah Jazz Over 4.5 +130 Under 4.5 -177