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DFS considerations for Herbert Burns vs. Daniel Pineda

Herbert Burns vs. Daniel Pineda battle at featherweight during UFC 252 in Las Vegas on August 15th. We break down what to consider in setting your DFS lineups.

Opponents Herbert Burns of Brazil and Daniel Pineda face off during the UFC 252 weigh-in at UFC APEX on August 14, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC

An up-and-coming featherweight gets his biggest test in the octagon against a promotion veteran when Herbert Burns faces Daniel Pineda at UFC 252 Saturday night. But is this prospect-vs-gatekeeper bout a good spot for DFS players?

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Herbert Burns: $8,900
Daniel Pineda: $7,300

Despite missing weight, Burns is the... heavy... favorite at -286 on the money line, with Pineda the underdog at +225, but getting 30% of Burns’s money.

Burns is bringing in almost 105 DFS points in his first two fights, which is easy when you keep stopping people in the first round. But “The Pit” Pineda tends to drag fights out, and his stats are almost invalid as he’s making his return to the UFC for the first time in over six years.

Pineda does have four-straight first-round wins on the independent circuit, and is coming off a drug suspension by the Nevada State Athletic Commission. It means he might be cheating which is of course bad, but might help you in DFS when the fight is called at the end of the night.

We’ll be on Pineda to drag this to deeper water and possibly pull an upset, especially with Burns missing weight by that much.