At women’s strawweight the #15-ranked fighter in Felice Herrig is a big underdog to Virna Jandiroba at UFC 252. But is there DFS value here?
Felice Herrig: $7,200
Virna Jandiroba: $9,000
Herrig is a significant underdog on the money line at +240, with Jandiroba at -315 expected to win.
Herrig has lost her last two fights, but dragged them to a decision while averaging 36.5 DFS points in each. And when she was winning, three of her four victories in the UFC were via decision.
She’s taking on an opponent coming off a second-round submission where she tallied 104, and has 12 career tapouts on her 15-1 record.
It’s likely Jandiroba is worth the salary here, as if she can end this early and work her way into the rankings, she does so by scoring triple digits or close to it. This might not be a first-round stoppage, but the activity level of Jandiroba and ability to score via advancing positions on the mat will be helpful as well. We’ll take the Brazilian BJJ specialist on some rosters this evening.