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New polls indicate Biden leads by double digits

The addition of Kamala Harris to the ticket has kept Biden’s lead about where it was in national polling

Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate Sen. Kamala Harris sign required documents for receiving the Democratic nomination for President and Vice President of the United States at the Hotel DuPont on August 14, 2020 in Wilmington, Delaware. Harris is the first Black woman and first person of Indian descent to be a presumptive nominee on a presidential ticket by a major party in U.S. history. Photo by Drew Angerer/Getty Images

Two major polls released today that were taken after Joe Biden nominated Kamala Harris to be his Vice President show that the Democrats are still ahead and would be heavily favored to win the White House if the election were held tomorrow.

CBS News has Biden leading President Trump 52%-42% amongst likely voters, with the former Vice President having 279 electoral votes likely or leaning his way as of now. President Trump has 163 electoral votes in his column, leaving 96 as a toss-up between the sides. A candidate needs 270 votes to win election.

The toss-up states as of now are Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, and Ohio.

CBS also issued statewide numbers, and for participants in DraftKings Sportsbook’s $100,000 Presidential Election Pool, these might be the most important.

CBS News 8/16

State Biden Trump
State Biden Trump
Arizona 51% 46%
Florida 51% 47%
Georgia 51% 47%
Iowa 49% 48%
North Carolina 51% 46%
Ohio 48% 49%
Pennsylvania 52% 46%
Michigan 53% 45%
Wisconsin 52% 45%
New Jersey 60% 38%
Colorado 55% 42%
Indiana 45% 53%
West Virginia 33% 65%

Also NBC News and the Wall Street Journal interviewed 900 registered voters, for a margin of error of +/- 3.27%, and they have Biden leading 50%-41%. That’s down two points from last month, where Biden was ahead 51%-40%.

The poll also included favorability ratings on both candidates, and had Trump with a 40% positive rating and a 52% negative outcome. It had Biden at 39% positive to 45% negative. Interesting was the favorability of President Obama, who was regarded 54% favorable to 34% unfavorable, which might have an impact as the candidates get closer to election time during campaigning.

If the election were held tomorrow, the numbers above show it is very likely Joe Biden would be the next President. But with 79 days, two party conventions, likely three debates, and even more to come, there’s still plenty of things that can happen before we see who will lead the nation beginning on January 20th, 2021.