There’s five big checkpoints for any major party challenger to the White House: the selection of a Vice Presidential nominee, the party convention, and the presidential debates. With California Senator Kamala Harris the pick, we’ll head towards the second of the benchmarks this week as for the first time a national convention shall be held virtually.
This will also help bettors participating in DraftKings Sportsbook’s $100,000 Presidential Election pool, which is free to enter and asks participants to select the winner of 11 states as well as the overall election.
How to watch
The 2020 Democratic National Convention will air from 9 p.m. to 11 p.m. for the next four nights.
- There’s an official livesteam from the Democratic party available here, and it will also be available on platforms such as YouTube, Facebook and Twitter. You’ll also get wall-to-wall coverage from C-SPAN, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC. The major networks are only showing the last hour from 10 p.m.-11 p.m., which will include the speeches of former Presidential candidate and Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, and former First Lady Michelle Obama.
- While this convention will likely make less news than ones in the past, as normal business such as approving the party platform has already been done by delegates over email. The speeches will take center stage, and without production and interruptions for applause should mostly be on-time.
- If you’re looking for a possible breakdown of how things are going for the Democrats, PredictIt will offer real time feedback as traders will be buying and selling shares based on the upcoming election as the convention happens. If some major news breaks, you’ll likely be able to track how the politically engaged think it affects the eventual outcome pretty close to immediately.
List of Monday speakers
9 p.m. speakers
Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo
Michigan Gov,. Gretchen Whitmer
House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-SC)
Rep. Bennie Thompson (D-MS, Convention Chairman)
Rep. Gwen Moore (D-WI)
Sen. Doug Jones (D-AL)
10 p.m. speakers
Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT)
Former First Lady Michelle Obama
PredictIt Market Prices
As of 1:45 p.m. entering the convention, Joe Biden leads with a .59 price to win the general election on PredictIt, with Donald Trump at .44. This is the real-time opinion of traders on the platform that are buying and selling shares as if they were commodities contracts, so they won’t have to wait until election night to get paid and can profit-take based on what happens between now and the convention
Also keep in mind because of the bid/ask pricing at PredictIt, all pricing won’t add up to exactly $1.
Arizona: Biden leads .57-.45
Georgia: Trump leads .65-.37
Florida: Biden leads .53-.48
Michigan: Biden leads .74-.31
North Carolina: Trump leads .53-.50
Ohio: Trump leads .63-.39
Pennsylvania: Biden leads .69-.35
Texas: Trump leads .77-.26
Wisconsin: Biden leads .66-.36