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Odds to win the Big XII Conference Championship

The Big 12 claims two more members than it actually has, and begins play with a big favorite for the title.

Lee Morris of the Oklahoma Sooners takes the field prior to the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl vs the LSU Tigers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on December 28, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images

The Big XII had the least alterations to their conference schedule with Covid-19, because the league plays a full round-robin during the regular season anyway.

The conference schedule stayed intact, with the only changes being the dates of the games to be played. Teams are also still adding a +1 game, with Oklahoma playing Missouri State on September 12th, Texas playing UTEP on the same day, and more.

Oklahoma enters as the favorite, with Spencer Rattler taking over for Heisman finalist Jalen Hurts at quarterback. He should be able to keep the offense rolling, and there’s a significant talent advantage in Norman as shown by the five College Football Playoff appearances in the last six years. Lincoln Riley has a machine that somehow always finishes a hair behind Texas (11th vs. 9th in 2020 Composite) in the recruiting rankings, but for the most part beats them on the field when it matters.

It’s a big season for the Tom Herman experiment for the Texas Longhorns. He’s 25-15 in Austin since Charlie Strong was bounced, although Strong was 16-21 and that got him extremely fired probably a year too late. Senior Sam Ehlinger returns at quarterback, they’re loaded along the lines, and might need a big season to see Herman get a contract extension. Everything has changed because of Covid-but not the expectations for Hook ‘Em.

Need an underdog? Brock Purdy is just a junior (!!), and the Iowa State Cyclones have more talent than you think. Matt Campbell has recruited amazingly well for Ames and enters 46th in composite talent rankings, but the speed and power you see belies that number. The problem is they’ll likely need to beat everyone but Oklahoma, or actually beat Oklahoma in the regular season to get to the championship game. It’s a tall order, but last season was about as impressive as you can be with a 7–6 (5–4 Big 12) record. They could make the leap here.

We also know better than to ever count out Gary Patterson and TCU, whose teams always tend to improve as the season continues. But they just might be in too deep a hole after last season despite the #28 in recruiting composite. At 16-1 however, there still might be plenty of value.

The odds below are for teams to win the Big XII Championship at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas on December 5th.

Here are the odds for the 2020 Big XII Champion:

2020 Big XII Championship Odds

Team Odds 8/20
Team Odds 8/20
Oklahoma -125
Texas +175
Oklahoma State +650
Iowa State +1000
TCU +1600
West Virginia +2500
Baylor +3300
Kansas State +4000
Texas Tech +6600
Kansas +10000

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