Joe Biden might have helped solidify his support amongst likely voters according to the latest batch of polling.
The former Vice President leads 52% to 42% nationwide ahead of the 2020 general election according to a YouGov poll posted yesterday. The sample was taken after the end of the Democratic National Convention, and 88% of respondents said they definitely well vote, and 86% said that their support is “very strong - I’ve decided” meaning these votes are locked in for both sides.
The last YouGov poll released before the end of the convention had Biden ahead 50%-40%, so while the margin he’s ahead by hasn’t increased, it also means there’s less undecided voter support to be had. And that’s a good thing when you already have a significant lead.
Also a Morning Consult poll taken just after the convention, with a large sample but using a less reliable-method that’s rated B/C by FiveThirtyEight.com, gave Biden a 52%-43% lead amongst 4,377 likely voters after the convention.
A new Morning Consult poll of 4,377 likely voters conducted Friday found Biden leads Trump by 9 percentage points, 52 percent to 43 percent, statistically unchanged from a Monday survey of 4,141 likely voters, when he led the president by 8 points. Monday’s responses have a 2-point margin of error and the Friday poll has a 1-point margin of error.
51% of likely voters said they had a favorable view of Biden on Friday, a single-day record in Morning Consult tracking of the race.
Trump’s popularity went unchanged, with 43 percent expressing favorable views and 55 percent expressing unfavorable views.
It shouldn’t be surprising amongst such a polarized electorate that Biden didn’t necessarily expand his reach last week, but solidified what was already there. With the Republican National Convention beginning this evening, it’s likely President Trump will need to add to what he’s already secured if he wants to secure a second term.
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