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NBA DFS breakdown, lineup notes for August 30

Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic are some of our top plays for Sunday’s NBA main slate.

Jamal Murray of the Denver Nuggets and Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets react after a three point basket during the fourth quarter in Game Five of the Western Conference First Round during the 2020 NBA Playoffs at The Field House at ESPN Wide World Of Sports Complex on August 25, 2020 in Lake Buena Vista, Florida.  Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

We have another three-game NBA main slate set for Sunday to wrap up the week. The second and third games of the day could be closeout games, and I’ll go over my strategy for attacking DFS on DraftKings in each below.

Clippers vs. Mavericks, 3:30 p.m. ET

Spread: LAC (-10)
Over/Under: 237.5
Here’s our Showdown breakdown of this game.

It’s hard for me to see Luka Doncic ($11,200) as a viable play after his performance in Game 5. He’s the most expensive player in the slate and will carry a heavy workload, but don’t expect much from him if Paul George ($8,300) is back to being efficient. Value plays like Landry Shamet ($3,700), Boban Marjanovic ($4,000), and Montrezl Harrell ($4,400) are more appealing in a game that could be a major blowout. Kawhi Leonard ($10,000) is worth paying up for as a player who’s yet to drop below 50 DKFP in a playoff game. He has the highest floor in this game.

Nuggets vs. Jazz, 8:30 p.m. ET

Spread: UTA (-2)
Over/Under: 220.5
Here’s our Showdown breakdown of this game.

I’m skeptical about paying up for Donovan Mitchell ($9,700) in this one. He seems overpriced and feel short of 5x value in his last appearance despite scoring 30 points. Jamal Murray ($8,600) is more of a stat sheet stuffer. I’d suggest stacking the Canadian wit Nikola Jokic ($9,500) in what could be the highest scoring game of the slate. Utah gives up more points per possession on post ups than any other team in the postseason, and Jokic is averaging an elite 1.45 points per possession on post ups.

Lock of the Day: Nikola Jokic ($9,500)

Sleeper: P.J. Dozier ($3,100)

Dozier has solidified his place in the rotation and has hovered around 20 minutes per game during the playoffs. The return of Gary Harris ($4,200) could make some believe he won’t be a factor, but his recent level of exposure makes me think he’s worth a punt play.