The Boston Celtics came out in Game 1 against the Toronto Raptors and sent a message. So naturally, it’s time for the Raptors to send one back, right? That’s my thinking for Game 2 on Tuesday at 5:40 p.m. ET (which is a weird starting time, but sure). The Raptors fell behind early and couldn’t shoot their way out of a hole. They also couldn’t stop anything on defense and the Celtics shot above their heads from 3-point range (43.6%). If Boston regresses and misses some shots and the Raptors tighten things up on defense, we should see a different outcome in Game 2. Let’s take a look at some odds, player props and other lines to potentially consider for Raptors-Celtics.
Celtics vs. Raptors O/U 218.5 — UNDER (-109)
The spread is basically a pick ‘em at 1.5 in favor of Toronto and after Game 1 I’m not crazy about chasing that. So the O/U is interesting enough. In Game 1, we had a total of 206 with the Celtics winning 112-94. This number seems really high, right? Both teams are good defensively, it’s just the Raptors didn’t think Marcus Smart would hit 5 3-pointers. I think we see some positive and negative regression in Game 2. The Raptors likely won’t shoot 25% from 3-point range again and the Celtics will miss some shots. If that balances out, the game is definitely closer, but I don’t see it being higher scoring.
Fred VanVleet O/U Total Points 18.5 — OVER (-118)
I’m going to ride this narrative straight to hell! Where you at Peaches!? That was a Rocko’s Modern Life reference for all you zoomers. So VanVleet got to see his family on Monday for the first time in a while. The Raptors dropped Game 1 in embarrassing fashion. FVV was awful, shooting 3-of-16 from the field and 2-of-11 from distance. The Celtics do a good job guarding him but Toronto NEEDS VanVleet to score to win this game and series. So I expect a big bounce-back from VanVleet on Tuesday. For what it’s worth, he had a miserable game and still scored 11 points. If he hits, say, two 3-pointers and another field goal, he hits the over on this number.
Daniel Theis O/U Total Rebounds 7.5 — OVER (-110)
So Theis was the big play in Game 1 in terms of DFS. He had 15 rebounds and 13 points in 25 minutes. If the Celtics weren’t blowing out the Raptors at halftime, I imagine Brad Stevens plays Theis 30+ minutes rather than 25 while giving Semi Ojeleye 23 minutes and Robert Williams 19 minutes. If Theis can stay out of foul trouble, I think he plays 30+ and gets over this number pretty easily. The Celtics just really don’t have any strong rebounders other than Theis and Enes Kanter didn’t even play in Game 1. If Toronto throws some big lineups at Boston with Marc Gasol, Serge Ibaka and Pascal Siakam, Theis is going to need to be in there.
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