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The 2020 NFL season is upon us, and the time to get your first Sunday picks in is fast approaching. The 1 p.m. slate kicks off in a shade over 24 hours and then it’s off to the races!
The Kansas City Chiefs opened the 2020 season with a 34-20 victory over the Houston Texans, that really wasn’t even that close. The Chiefs led 31-7 at one point, and while the Texans eventually cut the lead to 11, much of that felt like garbage time scoring. They had a modest chance at getting a late backdoor cover on the 9.5-point spread, but they couldn’t recover an onside kick and the Chiefs scored a late field goal to secure the cover.
With Sunday kickoffs fast approach, time is running out to join in the DraftKings Pro Football Pick ‘Em National Championship. If you live in West Virginia, New Hampshire, or New Jersey, you can enter, make five picks a week, and compete to win $1 million.
Contest lines were established on Wednesday and are static. That means that even if there was movement at the book over the past three days, the contest lines don’t change. That could offer value in some games, so it’s worth a look to compare the lines then and now.
First off, here is the full list of lines for the contest. Obviously you can’t pick Texans-Chiefs anymore, but if you picked the Chiefs as one of your five picks this week, congrats on starting 1-0!
Texans @ Chiefs (-9.5)
Dolphins @ Patriots (-6.5)
Browns @ Ravens (-7.5)
Jets @ Bills (-6.5)
Raiders @ Panthers (+3.5)
Seahawks @ Falcons (+1.5)
Eagles @ Washington (+5.5)
Bears @ Lions (-2.5)
Colts @ Jaguars (+7.5)
Packers @ Vikings (-2.5)
Chargers @ Bengals (+3.5)
Cardinals @ 49ers (-6.5)
Buccaneers @ Saints (-3.5)
Cowboys @ Rams (+2.5)
Steelers @ Giants (+5.5)
Titans @ Broncos (+2.5)
Below is a table looking at betting splits for the remaining 15 games on the NFL schedule as of Saturday morning. You can compare the point spread now with the ones above, but also you can look at how the public is betting the spread, money line, and point totals.
Splits aren’t the be-all, end-all, but they do offer a data point worth considering. There are a couple interesting moves over the course of the week. The Colts were -7.5 on Tuesday, but have moved to -8.5 as of Saturday morning on the back of 75 percent of the handle on Indy. Additionally, the Seahawks were -1.5 on Wednesday, but are now -3 on the back of 80 percent of the handle on Seattle. I suspect we see a decent amount of people picking the Seahawks and Colts this weekend. It won’t be entirely because of line movement, but I imagine that will influence some folks.
Here’s a full rundown of Week 1 Sunday and Monday splits.
Week 1 NFL betting splits 2020, Sat AM
Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
CLE Browns | +7.5 | 25% | 27% | Over 47.5 | 54% | 67% | +285 | 13% | 9% |
BAL Ravens | -7.5 | 75% | 73% | Under 47.5 | 46% | 33% | -335 | 87% | 91% |
IND Colts | -8.5 | 75% | 76% | Over 45.0 | 26% | 41% | -435 | 94% | 90% |
JAX Jaguars | +8.5 | 25% | 24% | Under 45.0 | 74% | 59% | +360 | 6% | 10% |
PHI Eagles | -5.5 | 88% | 86% | Over 42.5 | 50% | 58% | -245 | 89% | 91% |
WAS Football Team | +5.5 | 12% | 14% | Under 42.5 | 50% | 42% | +210 | 11% | 9% |
NY Jets | +6.5 | 34% | 32% | Over 39.5 | 46% | 55% | +240 | 15% | 12% |
BUF Bills | -6.5 | 66% | 68% | Under 39.5 | 54% | 45% | -278 | 85% | 88% |
MIA Dolphins | +6.5 | 31% | 42% | Over 41.5 | 58% | 58% | +260 | 36% | 23% |
NE Patriots | -6.5 | 69% | 58% | Under 41.5 | 42% | 42% | -305 | 64% | 77% |
CHI Bears | +2.5 | 64% | 56% | Over 43.0 | 41% | 40% | +114 | 83% | 69% |
DET Lions | -2.5 | 36% | 44% | Under 43.0 | 59% | 60% | -129 | 17% | 31% |
GB Packers | +2.5 | 53% | 58% | Over 45.0 | 36% | 58% | +120 | 81% | 74% |
MIN Vikings | -2.5 | 47% | 42% | Under 45.0 | 64% | 42% | -137 | 19% | 26% |
SEA Seahawks | -3 | 80% | 77% | Over 49.0 | 64% | 74% | -143 | 72% | 65% |
ATL Falcons | +3 | 20% | 23% | Under 49.0 | 36% | 26% | +125 | 28% | 35% |
LV Raiders | -2.5 | 70% | 67% | Over 47.5 | 66% | 56% | -143 | 40% | 51% |
CAR Panthers | +2.5 | 30% | 33% | Under 47.5 | 34% | 44% | +125 | 60% | 49% |
LA Chargers | -2.5 | 58% | 58% | Over 42.0 | 28% | 54% | -143 | 50% | 52% |
CIN Bengals | +2.5 | 42% | 42% | Under 42.0 | 72% | 46% | +125 | 50% | 48% |
ARI Cardinals | +6.5 | 56% | 52% | Over 48.0 | 83% | 72% | +255 | 34% | 21% |
SF 49ers | -6.5 | 44% | 48% | Under 48.0 | 17% | 28% | -295 | 66% | 79% |
TB Buccaneers | +3.5 | 53% | 57% | Over 48.0 | 88% | 89% | +150 | 75% | 61% |
NO Saints | -3.5 | 47% | 43% | Under 48.0 | 12% | 11% | -175 | 25% | 39% |
DAL Cowboys | -2.5 | 64% | 78% | Over 51.5 | 69% | 56% | -139 | 55% | 61% |
LA Rams | +2.5 | 36% | 22% | Under 51.5 | 31% | 44% | +123 | 45% | 39% |
PIT Steelers | -6 | 86% | 81% | Over 46.0 | 22% | 43% | -245 | 79% | 84% |
NY Giants | +6 | 14% | 19% | Under 46.0 | 78% | 57% | +210 | 21% | 16% |
TEN Titans | -2 | 77% | 79% | Over 41.0 | 59% | 80% | -159 | 69% | 69% |
DEN Broncos | +2 | 23% | 21% | Under 41.0 | 41% | 20% | +140 | 31% | 31% |
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