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What to do with Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf in Week 1 fantasy football

The Seattle Seahawks offense could be in for a big day against the Falcons.

Tyler Lockett of the Seattle Seahawks celebrates with DK Metcalf after scoring a touchdown during the third quarter against the Green Bay Packers in the NFC Divisional Playoff game at Lambeau Field on January 12, 2020 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Russell Wilson has been in early preseason MVP discussions already, and for good reason: the Seattle Seahawks might have one of the better offenses Russ has ever been a part of. The hype might start early in 2020, as the Seahawks face the Atlanta Falcons, who have made a habit of under-performing the past few seasons. That means possible big games for Tyler Lockett and the rest of the Seattle offense.

Fantasy Football analysis: Seahawks WRs Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf

The Falcons gave up an average of 244 receiving yards per game in 2019, and I expect Russell Wilson to surpass that number in Week 1. If that happens, it likely leads to a big game for Tyler Lockett.

In 2019, Lockett saw 110 targets on the year. Russell Wilson “only” attempted 516 passes last year, meaning Lockett was getting over 20% of the target share of Russell Wilson’s passes. Atlanta was first - or last, depending on how you want to look at it - in the number of pass attempts by an opponent per game, average 42.8 pass attempts against per game, which no other team over 40.

Russ will throw early and often against the Falcons secondary, and Lockett should see the lion’s share of those looks. DK Metcalf, on the other hand, with his size and bulky frame, is likely to get more looks in the redzone, but not necessarily see as many targets as his more sure-handed teammate.

Fantasy Start/Sit Recommendation

Start Lockett at a WR1 and Metcalf as a low-end flex.