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Why you should lay the points and take the over in Steelers-Giants on MNF

The Cowboys routed the Rams in Dallas last season. Will they be able to do the same in Los Angeles Sunday night?

Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver Diontae Johnson train at Heinz Field during the Steelers 2020 Training Camp. handout photo

The NFL closes out the week with its Monday Night Football doubleheader, and the evening opens with a matchup of new vs. old. Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, and the New York Giants will play host to Ben Roethlisberger, JuJu Smith-Schuster, and the Pittsburgh Steelers. The game airs on ESPN and kickoff is set for 7:15 p.m. ET.

The Steelers come into MetLife Stadium as a six-point road favorite and -250 on the moneyline at DraftKings Sportsbook. The Giants are +215 on the moneyline. The point total sits at 45.

Pittsburgh has high expectations after an up-and-down 2019 season. Ben Roethlisberger injured his elbow in Week 2 last season and was lost for the year. Mason Rudolph and Devlin Hodges split starting snaps the rest of the way and somehow the Steelers still almost claimed a playoff berth. They finished 8-8 thanks primarily to the third-ranked defense last season.

The Giants made a big change last season, benching Eli Manning and kicking off the Daniel Jones era. Injuries ravaged the skill positions, and yet Jones still put together a pretty decent first season. In 13 games, he threw for 3,027 yards with 24 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Considering Saquon Barkley was limited much of the season by a high ankle sprain and they didn’t get a full season of snaps from a single pass catcher, it’s not too shabby.

ATS Pick: Steelers
Point Total Pick: Over

I am tempted by the Giants, but the defensive disparity is too much and I’ve changed my mind. The Giants added some tools to their defense, but losing Xavier McKinney for a few months stings. The NYG defense vs. PIT offense matchup comes down to how you think Ben Roethlisberger looks in his return. I’m bullish on Roethlisberger and think he has a little something left in the tank. In an offense with JuJu Smith-Schuster, Diontae Johnson, James Washington, the addition of Chase Claypool, Eric Ebron and Vance McDonald at tight end, and a solid backfield there’s a lot of options there for Big Ben.

On the other side of the ball, the Giants have a new head coach in Joe Judge and a new offensive coordinator in Jason Garrett. They face a Steelers defense that was great last season and shows no signs it will let up this year. Daniel Jones has a full arsenal of weapons coming into this game, but I don’t know if the Giants offense can keep up with the Steelers in this one.

If the Giants had improved their defense a little more, I would consider the Giants and the under. Instead, I think the Steelers can win this by a touchdown or more, and the Giants add some garbage time scores to get over the point total.

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