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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Silva vs. Borella at UFC Vegas 11

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Mara Romero Borella at UFC Vegas 11 on ESPN+.

Opponents Mayra Bueno Silva and Mara Borella face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 18, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Two 115 lbs. women will get in the cage when Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Mara Romero Borella fight at UFC Vegas 11 this Saturday from Las Vegas’ UFC Apex and live on ESPN+.

Silva is 6-1 with three of her victories coming via submission. She lands 4.87 strikes per minutes with 54% accuracy, but absorbs 7.26. She lost her only fight since 2018, didn’t compete in 2019, and lost via unanimous decision to Maryna Moroz in March.

Borella has an 11-8 record and only lands 2.54 strikes per minute with 37 percent accuracy in her UFC bouts. Better than Silva on the ground, she averages 1.66 takedowns per 15 minutes in her career. She has a mixed bag of finishes as well with eight of her wins being submissions or decisions, and three knockouts as well. At 34, Borella will enter the cage while five years older than Silva.

Betting splits

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Mara Romero Borella at UFC Vegas 11 on September 19th:

Mayra Bueno Silva: -230 (78% of action, 63% of bets)
Mara Romero Borella: +180 (22% of action, 37% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Mayra Bueno Silva: $9,000
Mara Romero Borella: $7,200

Silva has a big price here against a veteran in Borella, though the underdog has lost three in a row. Her inability to score big or finish might make this a good spot for bettors, but maybe not for DFS players. We’ll be staying away here.