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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Espinosa vs. Dvorak at UFC Vegas 11

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Jordan Espinosa vs. David Dvorak at UFC Vegas 11 on ESPN+.

Opponents Jordan Espinosa and David Dvorak face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 18, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

One of the most thrilling preliminary fights of UFC Vegas 11 should be at flyweight when #13 Jordan Espinosa enters the octagon with #14 David Dvorak live this Saturday at Las Vegas’ UFC Apex and on ESPN+.

The 15-7 Espinosa will enter having defeated Mark De La Rosa two months ago. Prior to that bout, Espinosa fell to #4 Alex Perez and #9 Matt Schnell, and his style may have a bit to do with his difficulties with more skilled opponents. The 30-year-old is an aggressive striker, landing 5.49 blows per minute. He lands 60 percent of those while also defending 60 percent of the 2.84 he takes per minute.

Dvorak enters the cage with a 18-3 record. He’s won the majority of his fights via knockout and hasn’t lost a bout since 2012, but most of his matches have been on lower-tier independent circuits. He’s also more aggressive than most, landing 50 percent of his attempts for 4.47 strikes per minute.

Betting splits

Here are the odds at DraftKings Sportsbook for Jordan Espinosa vs. David Dvorak at UFC Vegas 11 on September 19th:

Jordan Espinosa: -112 (13% of action, 27% of bets)
David Dvorak: -112 (87% of action, 73% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Jordan Espinosa: $8,000
David Dvorak: $8,200

Pick a winner! Or don’t because there’s way better value in other places on this card. There’s no need to spend salary cap on a fight this close with two guys that score at this low a rate.

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