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What betting splits, DFS advice tell us about Holland vs. Stewart at UFC Vegas 11

We break down the last-minute bet splits and make some DFS picks for Kevin Holland vs. Darren Stewart at UFC Vegas 11 on ESPN+.

Kevin Holland and Darren Stewart face off during the UFC Fight Night weigh-in at UFC APEX on September 18, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

A middleweight battle between Kevin Holland and Darren Stewart will open the main card for UFC Vegas 11 this Saturday live at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas and on ESPN+. Both Holland and Stewart fought during UFC Fight Night 174 which was in early August, so they should be in rhythm and ready to get back in the octagon.

“Trailblazers” Holland has an 18-5 record and a two-match win streak. He’s won five of seven in the UFC, including a brutal loss via unanimous decision to No. 2-ranked light heavyweight Thiago Santos. Holland lands 4.65 significant strikes per minutes with a 55% striking rate, and has half of career wins via knockout.

Stewart, also known as “The Dentist,” is 12-5 career and 5-4-1 in the cage. He fought just over a month ago and earned a submission victory over Maki Pitolo. Also an orthodox fighter, Stewart looks to get on the ground more than Holland, converting 1.32 takedowns per 15 minutes. He achieves 43% of his takedown attempts.

Betting splits

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Kevin Holland vs. Darren Stewart at UFC Vegas 11 on September 19th:

Kevin Holland: -265 (85% of action, 85% of bets)
Darren Stewart: +205 (15% of action, 15% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Salaries

Kevin Holland: $9,100
Darren Stewart: $7,100

Holland is a big favorite here for a reason, and he tends to score when he gets stoppages (105, 107, and 156 DFS points in his three graded finish wins). You’ll need places to spend extra salary on this fight, and Kevin Holland in-form is a very good one.

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