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Top fades, value plays for Heat vs. Celtics Game 4 NBA Showdown

We go over the best lineup strategy, including fades and value options for Wednesday’s DraftKings Showdown contest between Miami and Boston.

Miami Heat guard Tyler Herro brings the ball up court against the Boston Celtics during the first half of game three of the Eastern Conference Finals of the 2020 NBA Playoffs at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex.  Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Heat lost their second game of the 2020 NBA playoffs to the Boston Celtics in Game 4 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Gordon Hayward’s return from the ankle sprain he suffered in the first round gave Boston enough of a boost to avoid going down 3-0, but there’s more work to be done. Game 4 is schedule to take place on Wednesday at 8:30 p.m. ET, and we’ll go over how you should address key players for NBA DFS on DraftKings here.

Lock of the Night

Tyler Herro ($9,900/$6,600)

Herro is the player who stands out as the hardest option to pass on for me. The rookie has thrived under pressure and has been able to stuff the stat sheet off the bench. He’s averaging 15 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists in the Eastern Conference Finals. He nearly saved Miami’s bacon in Game 4 and has logged at least 30 minutes of playing time in seven straight postseason games. Herro is a must-have in the flex and has plenty of appeal as a captain’s pick in a matchup with so many offensive weapons.

Players to fade

Daniel Theis ($5,400)

Theis stood out as a solid value big when there were more games going on, but he doesn’t have the same appeal in a Showdown matchup against the Heat. The Celtics’ small ball center hasn’t been effective against Bam Adebayo and has finished below his season average in DKFP for four straight games. Now that Hayward is back in the rotation for the Celtics, it’s very possible that he’ll play less and get fewer opportunities to make significant contributions to his team.

Brad Wanamaker ($3,600)

Wanamaker got a healthy boost in minutes while Hayward was out, but he only played nine minutes in Game 3 after logging more than 20 minutes in Games 1 and 2. The Celtics’ rotation should be small in Game 4, and Wanamaker’s fantasy production will drop because of that.

Value Pick

Duncan Robinson ($4,600)

It’s never easy to find value this late in the postseason. Robinson’s price is down almost $1K from Game 3 and he’s still a starter who is going to see around 30 minutes. Robinson is streaky but has scored 31 points over the past two games while shooting 50% from the 3-point line. The long layoff could impact how this game is played, making it a tighter, higher scoring contest.