We enter a crucial Game 4 in the Eastern Conference Finals following a 3-day layover from the previous matchup over the weekend. This is an interesting situation because most of the games have taken place every other day. This will give us more of a series-reset type of feel to Game 4 between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat. The Heat lead the series 2-1, so this is essentially a tipping scale. It can sway the series in one direction or the other. Let’s take a look at some player prop bets to consider on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Jimmy Butler over 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-110)
We haven’t really seen Big Game Jimmy Buckets in this series. The Heat have used a balanced attack and they’re lucky to be up 2-1, to be honest. Butler has had a few days to reset and get fresh. His killer instinct should come out in a game in which Miami can really put pressure on the Celtics if it gets to 3-1 in the series. In the biggest spots in the first and second rounds, Butler scored 27 points and 30 points (Game 3 vs. Indy and Game 3 vs. the Bucks). With this number at 30.5, I’m looking for Butler to score around 25-30 points tonight. If that’s the case, he should coast to this number.
Tyler Herro over 2.5 3-pointers made (+110)
This number seems very weird to me. I get that Herro has only eclipsed it twice in this series but throughout these playoffs, he’s getting past it pretty consistently — in 7-of-11 games, in fact. We know Herro’s minutes are going to be there because he’s playing crunch time and really we just need him to be aggressive and take more shots. We’ve seen his 3-point attempts go up in each game of the conference finals. If that trend continues or levels off, getting to 3 treys for Herro appears to be easy. Plus, we get the juice.
Jayson Tatum over 24.5 points (-115)
I really like the 3-point prop on Marcus Smart as well (OVER 2.5 at +125). Though, I’ll play it safe and look at Tatum’s point total, which is pretty generous. He’s gone for 25+ points in two of three games this series. Even with Gordon Hayward back, Tatum’s minutes won’t change — he’s going to see 40+ in this game depending on the script. I’m leaning more toward this game being high scoring after the days off, we could see less discipline on defense. If we’re looking at narrative, the Celtics are in a borderline “must-win” situation. Obviously down 3-1, their chances of advancing diminish greatly. That means the best player on Boston should step up.
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