After a clean sweep on Wednesday night in Game 4 between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics, we split in Game 4 between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers last night. So the past couple nights we’re at 5-2 in terms of player props. Not too bad. We’ve got Game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals and an elimination game for the Celtics down 3-1. It’s a bit surprising its gotten to this point for Boston but this series isn’t over yet. Let’s take a look at some player prop bets to capitalize on for Game 5 on Friday.
Kemba Walker over 19.5 points (+100)
To me, this has to be the Cardiac Kemba game, right? You could argue Kemba hasn’t played that great in this series, yet, he’s scored over 20 points in each of the past three games. He’s been plenty aggressive on offense, just hasn’t taken over a game like we’re used to seeing at times. With the season on the line, normally your best players are asked to step up. Walker is the type of player who relishes this opportunity. It isn’t even like this prop is outlandish too. We get juice on a number Walker has hit in three straight! If you’re into this type of action and think Kemba can go off, he’s also +700 to be top scorer.
Marcus Smart over 4.5 assists (+100)
I’m all about the juice tonight, baby! Ever since Gordon Hayward came back, Smart has toned it down a bit on offense and is passing the ball more. He has 17 assists over the past two games, including 11 in the Game 4 loss. Smart also went 1-of-8 from downtown in Game 4, so he hasn’t entirely learned to just feed Walker, Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown at this point. Maybe that’s something he’ll clean up in Game 5 tonight. If I’m Smart, I’m not having the Celtics and the city of Boston pissed off at me because I shot the team out of Game 5. Be smart, pass the ball.
Tyler Herro over 26.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110)
I’m gonna ride the Herro wave and say that Game 4 wasn’t just some fluky performance. That isn’t to say I think Herro will drop 37 again — or even 25 or 30 points. But if we look at the points prop from last game (14.5 points), Herro’s total only went up 2 points. He’s scored a combined 59 points over the past two games. So on points alone, Herro should be able to get close to this number of 26.5. He’s gone over this total in three of four games this series. The only miss was in Game 2 when he had 11 points, 9 rebounds and 5 assists (25).
So if you’re worried about the Celtics clamping down on Herro, even if he doesn’t score a ton of points, he’s averaging 7.3 rebounds and 5.3 assists in the series. If he comes close to those averages, we only need him to score around 14-16 points for the over here. I also like Herro over 16.5 points (-110) for what it’s worth. He’s just so hot right now, Herro.
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