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How the public is betting Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz at UFC 253

Dominick Reyes and Jan Blachowicz square off at UFC 253 for the vacant light heavyweight title on September 26th. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

UFC 253: Adesanya v Costa Press Conference Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC

The co-main event of UFC 253 is a one sided affair according to bettors. In what will be the UFC’s return to Fight Island in Abu Dhabi, Saturday’s pay-per-view card see’s Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz.

At 12-1, Reyes is heavily-favored vs an older fighter in Blachowicz, who is 37. Reyes only loss came in an incredibly tight contest to perhaps the greatest ever in Jon Jones back in February. Reyes joined the UFC in 2017, and sports a 6-1 record with four stoppage wins. His biggest strength will be being to change stances on a dime, and beat Jan with speed and technique.

Blachowicz will be hoping for a slower fight and one that goes longer, as Reyes cardio is a minus for him. Blachowicz is coming off of three straight wins, and with power and a basic tie in reach, this fight can be much closer than most believe. One other factor to keep in mind is the relative closeness of striking accuracy (48%-49%) which can favor the heavier-handed Blachowicz.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz at UFC 253 on September 26th.

Betting splits

Dominick Reyes: -286, (75% of action, 74% of bets)
Jan Blachowicz: +230, (25% of action, 24% of bets)

Winning method splits

Here are the splits for the method of victory at DraftKings Sportsbook for Dominick Reyes vs. Jan Blachowicz at UFC 253 on September 26th:


Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Dominick Reyes By KO, TKO or DQ +100 37% 35%
Jan Blachowicz By KO, TKO or DQ +450 28% 24%
Dominick Reyes By Decision +275 16% 20%
Jan Blachowicz By Decision +750 10% 7%
Jan Blachowicz By Submission +900 8% 10%
Dominick Reyes By Submission +1400 1% 3%
Tie +6600 0% 1%
Reyes v Blachowicz

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