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Top fades, value plays for Nuggets vs. Lakers Game 5 NBA Showdown

We go over the best lineup strategy, including fades and value options for Saturday’s DraftKings Showdown contest between Denver and Los Angeles.

LeBron James of the Los Angeles Lakers looks on in the game against the Denver Nuggets in Game four of the Western Conference Finals of the 2020 Playoffs as part of the NBA Restart 2020 on September 24, 2020 at AdventHealth Arena at ESPN Wide World of Sports Complex in Orlando, Florida. Photo by Jim Poorten/NBAE via Getty Images

The Denver Nuggets will once again go after a comeback series win down 3-1. This time is happens on the biggest stage, in the Western Conference Finals agains LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers. In the previous two rounds, the Nuggets have come back down 3-1 in the series. If they can pull off another improbable win, the Nuggets might go down in history as one of the greatest comeback teams of all-time. Let’s take a look at the DraftKings Showdown contest and how to approach certain lineup decisions.

Set your DraftKings lineup here.

Players to Fade

Michael Porter Jr. ($7,200)

It’s been like a few months now and we’re still not getting on MPJ in the playoffs. He just isn’t seeing the type of minutes we want out of someone who is priced up this high in the Western Conference Finals. He hasn’t had double-digit field goal attempts since the second round. The highest total he’s gotten to is 9 in a game this series. He just isn’t getting the scoring volume like before and that stunts his value. Overall, the best way to approach lineups in the Showdown for Game 5 is stars and scrubs with maybe a mid-range play mixed in there.

Jerami Grant ($6,600)

Last game the Nuggets lost and Grant got a ton of minutes and usage, so I assume those numbers will come down a bit. This price isn’t great for a player like Grant, who really is only going to be valuable if he scores. He’s been scoring more with Nikola Jokic struggling. With the Nuggets down 3-1, I’m expecting a better game from Jokic. If that’s the case, Grant likely doesn’t get to 20 points and his peripheral stats aren’t good enough for this price.

Value Picks

Dwight Howard ($4,200)

Lakers coach Frank Vogel inserted Howard into the starting lineup at center for Game 4 and it worked out. Howard brought an element inside that the Lakers had been lacking and Jokic was off for pretty much the entire game. Howard only played 23 minutes but he had 12 points and 11 rebounds. He was incredibly productive in that role and if it continues, we have to get in on it. Howard will likely be chalky as a result, only if the starting spot continues into Game 5, but I don’t see any reason for it not to.

Gary Harris ($3,400)

I’m not going to come out here and preach that Gary Harris needs to do a little more, but Gary Harris needs to do a little more. He’s been starting since returning from injury and only played 19 minutes in the Game 4 loss. The Nuggets are pretty much Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic and a bunch of fill-ins. Harris can change that narrative with a strong performance but it hasn’t happened this postseason. This is an extremely low price for Harris, so when value is hard to come by, we need to turn to players who have done it before.