September 3 update: We’re headed into the last weekend before the season starts, so I’ve updated the rankings. There are still a lot of question marks that make drafting tough, but we will press on!
As we close in on our drafts, I’m not as confident in “my guys” as I usually am, but I do have them and gave them a little nudge in this update. Here are the two quarterbacks I seem to end up with the most in drafts:
Matthew Stafford — He was great in the first half of last season and I have enough faith in Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, T.J. Hockenson and D’Andre Swift to go with him as my No. 1 QB.
Ben Roethlisberger — I’m probably buying the hype that his arm is feeling better than it has in years after his surgery, but when you look at his numbers in 2018, it’s hard not to like him. He’s cheap and I like his receiving group.
August 28th update: With just two weeks until the season opener between the Chiefs and Texans, your fantasy football drafts are closing in fast. So far, knocking on wood while crossing my fingers, no prominent quarterbacks have gone down with season-ending injuries in training camp. That will likely change, as it always seems to happen, but we haven’t had to make any drastic changes in the rankings.
Without any major injuries or news, the quarterback position has stayed fairly consistent this training camp. Nick Foles and Mitch Trubisky are battling to start, but neither is someone you can count on in fantasy. I have gone back and forth on Lamar Jackson vs. Patrick Mahomes, but they’re both going to go off if they can stay healthy.
Check out our printable drafting tiers!
The 2020 NFL season is fast approaching. There will be no preseason games and media coverage is going to be more limited than in past years. This makes it a little more difficult to evaluate camp battles, but it’s never been that easy either. That makes fantasy football draft preparations a little different than in recent seasons.
Below you will find our fantasy football quarterback rankings. Training camp is meaningful and what we learn over the next 20 days will help us rank these players more accurately. But, the bulk of evaluation has been done already. At this point rankings will move based on injuries, camp battles, and depth chart maneuvering. We are using half PPR to balance between standard and full PPR for the time being.
Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes are the cream of the fantasy football crop and I doubt I’ll get much pushback on that account. I’m sure there are some Lamar Jackson haters out there who think the Titans figured him out and now he’ll be awful, but he showed me enough to believe he will only continue to improve and find ways to combat defenses who start to find an edge against him.
Patrick Mahomes had a “down” season with injuries and touchdown regression and still was amazing. 5.4 touchdown percentage won’t continue, just as Lamar Jackson’s 9 percent touchdown rate should head back the other way. But his adjusted yards per attempt will likely stay steady, as he led the league last year at 9.6 yards and was third this season at 8.9 yards. Touchdowns come and go, but AY/A is a sticky stat that shows us that Mahomes is no flash in the pan.
Dak Prescott lands at the top of Tier 2 after a big 2019 season and his team swapping Randall Cobb for CeeDee Lamb this offseason. He has the upside to contend with Jackson and Mahomes, giving him some value despite his likely high ADP this season. But the same can always be said for Russell Wilson. If the Seattle defense continues to decline, Wilson will be asked to do more and when he is, he’s easily in Tier 1.
DeShaun Watson gets a bit of a downgrade after losing DeAndre Hopkins, but remains in Tier 2 based on his rushing ability and the hope that Brandin Cooks and Will Fuller stay healthy. Kyler Murray, the quarterback of the team Hopkins went to, is poised for a breakout in 2020. He isn’t as safe as the rest of the quarterbacks in Tier 2, but his upside is great this season.
Tier 3 goes from No. 7 Matt Ryan to No. 12 Tom Brady, with Drew Brees, Josh Allen, Matthew Stafford and Carson Wentz in-between. Those six are almost interchangeable, giving Brady the likely value spot in his knew Tampa Bay digs. I don’t expect him to re-find his youth, but his weapons and offense will make it nearly impossible to not put up decent fantasy numbers.
Mover and Shaker
I’ve moved Gardner Minshew up as his team’s defense erodes and I envision Minshew chucking and scrambling in catch up mode all season. That doesn’t set him up for top tier fantasy production, but does keep his upside higher on a weekly basis.
2021 Quarterback Rankings
|1||Patrick Mahomes II||KC|
|43||Gardner Minshew II||PHI|