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How and what to watch for in SMU vs. Texas State

SMU quarterback Shane Buechele returns to SMU for his second season after nearly throwing for 4,000 yards in 2019.

NCAA Football: Boca Raton Bowl-Southern Methodist vs Florida Atlantic Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The SMU Mustangs are set to play the Texas State Bobcats on the road in a game featuring two teams heading in opposite directions.

It’s hard to believe but former Texas quarterback Shane Buechele is still playing college football and with the new rule that states 2020 does not count as a year of eligibility, he could be back next year too. That would be excellent news for SMU because Buechele is operating at a fairly high level. He led SMU to a 10-win season in 2019 and threw for nearly 4,000 yards with 34 touchdown passes. He finished sixth in the country in passing yards and passing touchdowns last season.

Texas State is coming into the 2020 season with brand new offensive coordinator Jacob Peeler with head coach Jake Spavital taking over the play-calling duties. The Bobcats’ offense was a major issue last season, averaging just 18.4 points per game, which was ranked 122nd in the country. Texas State struggled to be competitive, losing half its games by 22 points or more.

SMU defeated Texas State 47-17 last year in Dallas.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

Saturday’s game will start at 4:30 p.m. ET at Bobcat Stadium in San Marcos, Texas. The game will air on ESPN.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: SMU (-23) vs. Texas State

Point Total: O/U 69 (-110)

Money line: SMU (-3335), Texas State (+1150)

  • SMU is 5-11 against the spread in its last 16 road games.
  • SMU hit the over in 10 of its last 13 games.
  • Texas State unders hit in six of its last eight games.
  • Texas State finished 3-8-1 against the spread in 2019.

The Best Bet

One thing to keep in mind in a strange 2020 college football season is to recognize how important this season is for talented Group of 5 teams. These programs have to realize this is their best chance to ever make the College Football Playoff, so style points will likely matter. If SMU shocks the AAC by going undefeated, a slight victory over Arkansas State wouldn’t look very good to the selection committee. The Mustangs are coming off their first double-digit win season since 1984, and their offense will be hard for any team to stop.

Pick: SMU -23

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