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Best lineup strategy for Bucks vs. Heat Game 4 NBA Showdown

We go over the best lineup strategy, including Captain’s Picks and value options for Sunday’s DraftKings Showdown contest between Milwaukee and Miami.

Jimmy Butler of the Miami Heat dribbles the ball during the first quarter against the Milwaukee Bucks in Game Three of the Eastern Conference Second Round during the 2020 NBA Playoffs at the Field House at the ESPN Wide World Of Sports Complex on September 04, 2020 in Lake Buena Vista, Florida.  Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

The Miami Heat will look to sweep the Milwaukee Bucks out of the second round of the playoffs. Admittedly, that is not a sentence I thought I’d be writing late Saturday night or at any point in 2020. The Heat have dominated the MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks, up 3-0 with a chance to advance to the Eastern Conference Finals.

Nobody has overcome a 3-0 deficit in the NBA. A few teams have come back to force a Game 7. None of those teams have won. You could argue the Bucks are the best equipped to make history. They could also bow out Sunday with how they’ve looked. Let’s take a look at some DraftKings Showdown picks for the contest, which locks at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Set your DraftKings lineup here.

Captain’s Pick

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($17,700)

If this is the last game of the season for the reigning (and soon to be back-to-back) MVP, then I’d expect Giannis goes out in MVP fashion. It would honestly surprise me if the Bucks got swept. They had control of Game 3 until the fourth quarter happened. Giannis really hasn’t been good all series. His ankle is ailing now, too. If Antetokounmpo plays, he’s going to leave it all on the court. I’m not going to bore you with stats and matchups. This is all feeling. Giannis is going to have a huge game win or lose.

Fade of the Game

Brook Lopez ($7,600)

Lopez had 17 field goal attempts in Game 3. Milwaukee can’t win with Brook Lopez taking that many shots. He’s still one of the worst rebounders as a 7-footer. Like I said above, Giannis should be more aggressive and take over in Game 4 if the ankle doesn’t hold him back. Lopez should get fewer shots and at this price, he doesn’t have much upside. 20-25 DKFP seems like the most likely outcome. I’d rather play Giannis or stack the Heat.

Value Picks

Eric Bledsoe ($6,800) — Bledsoe is down $800 from Game 3. He hasn’t had more than 27.75 DKFP in a game all series. The theme here is the Bucks’ sense of urgency taking over and the No. 1 overall seed not just laying down and dying to the Heat. Bledsoe needs to step up and he needs to play more than 30 minutes in an elimination game. It feels like no or never for Bledsoe and Milwaukee.

Wesley Matthews ($3,200) — If I’m Mike Budenholzer, I’m looking to play my studs 40+ minutes with the season on the line. If Bud doesn’t adjust, we should see Matthews play 20+ minutes. The veteran has been on the court plenty just isn’t taking any shots. He can actually make 3-pointers, the Bucks’ offense just can’t operate against the Heat right now. In a scenario in which the Bucks come out and put together a full game, I think we see Matthews hit some shots. There’s not much value at this point in the series.