The Lane Kiffin-led Rebels (4-5) are coming into bowl season off of a high-scoring 53-48 loss to the LSU Tigers. Ole Miss has one of the highest scoring offenses in the SEC, but at the same time give up a ton of points and yards on defense. This season, the Rebels are averaging 40.7 points and 562.4 total yards per game, which can be accredited to quarterback Matt Corral.
Corral is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for 2,995 yards, 27 touchdowns, and 14 ints. His favorite target this season has been wide receiver Elijah Moore, who has recorded 86 receptions for 1,193 yards, and eight touchdowns. On the ground, the Rebels have a stellar running back in Jerrion Ealy, who has produced 745 yards on 147 carries and nine touchdowns.
As for the Hoosiers (6-1), they were one of the surprise teams in the Big Ten, along with the Northwestern Wildcats. Indiana’s only loss this season came at the hands of Ohio State, which ultimately stopped them from going to the Big Ten title game. The Hoosiers will be looking to slow down this high-powered Ole Miss offense, while also putting up points against their defense. They are led by quarterback Jack Tuttle, who replaced Michael Penix Jr. Penix suffered a season-ending knee injury against Maryland on November 28.
That being said, Tuttle will be looking to get wide receiver Ty Fryfogle involved, who has 34 receptions for 687 yards and seven touchdowns.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Ole Miss vs. Indiana in the Outback Bowl on Saturday, December 2 at 4:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. You can stream it via WatchESPN or the ESPN app with a cable or streaming service login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Indiana -8.5
Point Total: 64.5
Money line: Indiana -305, Ole Miss +240
- The Rebs score a lot and give up plenty of points, hitting the over in six of their last nine games
- Even though they score a lot, Ole Miss is just 2-4 ATS in their last six games
- The Hoosiers are undefeated against the spread this season
- Indiana is 8-0 ATS dating back to the 2019 season.
Outback Bowl Betting splits
Ole Miss: (28% of handle, 42% percent of bets)
Indiana: (72% of handle, 58% percent of bets)
The Best Bet
That Ole Miss defense is pretty bad and the IU defense has shown it has the ability to slow down elite offenses, even in their loss to Ohio State. The Penix injury makes me a bit wary of the Hoosiers, but the Rebels have struggled all season stopping good teams.
Pick: Indiana -8.5
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