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Tracking betting odd movement ahead of the NFL’s Divisional Round

We go over how the lines for this weekend’s Divisional Round games have changed since Sunday.

Previewing the Divisional Round Matchups

We’re through the first round of the 2021 NFL playoffs and the matchups for the Divisional Round have been set. The NFC Divisional Round will feature Rams-Packers and Bucs-Saints matchups while the AFC side will feature Browns-Chiefs and Ravens-Bills matchups. The opening lines for each contest have already begun to move some on DraftKings Sportsbook and we’ll discuss how odds have changed since Sunday Night here.

Rams @ Packers

Green Bay opened as 7-point favorites and that line hasn’t moved. However, the total points have dropped from 46.5 to 46. The Packers’ moneyline odds have improved from -315 to -355 and I think that’s reasonable considering that Aaron Donald is dealing with a significant rib injury. The Rams also aren’t sure about who will start under center, as John Wolford is day-to-day after being removed from the Wild Card Round early with a neck injury. It’ll be hard to depend on Jared Goff to keep up with the highest-scoring team in the NFL while the thumb on his throwing hand is damaged.

Buccaneers @ Saints

The Saints opened as 4.5 point favorites but are now 3-point favorites ahead of the weekend. The Bucs had were challenged by the Washington Football Team in the first round and got swept by New Orleans during the regular season, so it doesn't make sense for them to be gaining ground on the favorites. Ronald Jones being made available could improve Tampa Bay’s odds by a small margin but it's unclear whether the running back will play after missing the first round with a quad injury. New Orleans has dropped from -205 to -167 on the moneyline since Sunday while Tampa Bay has jumped from +165 to +148. The point total has moved from 49.5 to 51.5.

Browns @ Chiefs

The reigning champs have been expected to blow by the competition from the start and are 10-point favorites after opening as 9.5 point favorites on Sunday. Kansas City’s moneyline odds haven't budged from -480 but the Browns’ have dropped from +350 to +390 despite the impending return of their head coach. Chiefs should still be heavily favored regardless of who’s on the sideline and the point total has moved from 54.5 to 56.

Ravens @ Bills

This game is expected to be a close one and the Bills have moved from being 2.5-point favorites to 2-point favorites since the weekend. The home team’s moneyline odds have also changed from -155 to -127. It appears like the Ravens finally getting the best of the Tennessee Titans has made oddsmakers think they have a real shot at taking down Buffalo. Baltimore has improved from +125 to +112 on the moneyline. Zack Moss being out for the year with an ankle injury limits Buffalo’s options out of the backfield but I don’t think his absence is significant enough to swing the odds in the visitor’s favor.

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