UPDATE: As of noon ET on game day, 63% of the point spread handle is on the Bills, 74% of the point total handle is on the over, and 51% of the moneyline handle is on the Bills to win.
In the last game on Saturday, we have the No. 5-seed Baltimore Ravens taking on the No. 2-seed Buffalo Bills at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Last week, the Ravens defeated the Titans 20-13, thanks to a great performance by the run defense and superstar quarterback Lamar Jackson. Baltimore’s run defense held Derrick Henry to 40 yards on 18 carries. As for Jackson, he was the game’s leading rusher with 136 yards and one touchdown. The dual-threat quarterback was also 17-of-24 for 179 yards and an interception.
Meanwhile, the Bills survived a late fourth quarter push from the Indianapolis Colts to win 27-24. In that game, quarterback Josh Allen was efficient, completing 26-of-35 passes for 324 yards and two touchdowns. One of his touchdown passes went to start wideout Stefon Diggs, who had six receptions for 128 yards.
So where are sports bettors going as we get closer to the Ravens vs. Bills matchup? Let’s take a look. All odds and info were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
Point Spread
Buffalo is favored by three points heading into Saturday’s AFC Divisional round playoff game. The Bills are receiving 73% of the bets and 63% of the handle.
Is the public right?
Last week, the Bills came into Super Wild Card Weekend as 6.5-point favorites, which made sense seeing how impressive they’ve played and their tremendous ATS record. However, the Colts made it close in the fourth quarter and covered the 6.5 points. On Saturday night, Buffalo is going against up a Ravens’ squad that is relatively healthy on both sides of the ball and can run the football. I’d lean towards the Ravens to cover the three points.
Over/Under
The point total for this Divisional round game is set at 49.5. Heading into game day, 74% of bets and 75% of the handle is being placed on the over.
Is the public right?
A lot of attention will be on the young quarterbacks in this game, who will determine in the end result. Josh Allen has been on fire this season and is coming off a 300-plus yard performance last week. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson has been dominating teams both on the ground and in the air. But between the two defenses, the Ravens’ defense can defend the Bills’ wideout unit, while the Bills’ run defense might have some trouble slowing Jackson and Co. In the last three games, the Ravens are averaging 28.3 points per game and the Bills are averaging 40.3 points per game.
Moneyline
As of Friday morning, the odds for the Bills moneyline sit at -143, with the Ravens at +125. Buffalo is seeing 54% of the moneyline bets for this game with 51% of the handle. The Ravens are receiving 46% of the moneyline bets and 49% of the handle.
Is the public right?
Just like last weekend’s games, this one will likely come down to the final minutes and who has the football last. The Bills come into this game, clicking on all cylinders and making plays. However, Lamar Jackson, who just won his first playoff game, is standing in their way. I believe that both offenses will score and have big plays, but Jackson will ultimately be the difference-maker.
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